Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/04/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
61.9%
Gael Monfils
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gael Monfils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gael Monfils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.63)

    2.51
    (2.4)
    4.2%
    (3%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gael Monfils?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Monfils will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 57. Monfils is ranked ATP: 200.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ugo Carabelli could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Gael Monfils
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q/LL)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q/LL)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q/LL)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (Q/LL)Tsitsipas S.
    35Trungelliti M. (Q/LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q/LL)
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q/LL)Baez S.
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q/LL)Opelka R.
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q/LL)Dimitrov G.
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q/LL)
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B.
    2Moller E.Diallo G. (32)
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)
    7Fonseca J. (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)
    17Bublik A. (8)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Moutet C. (26)
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.
    22TBD #43Darderi L. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.
    24TBD #47Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.
    26TBD #51Shapovalov D. (31)
    27Tien L. (17)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Cobolli F. (10)
    29Khachanov K. (13)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Mensik J. (23)
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.
    32TBD #63Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2