Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 69% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 60% (31/52) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 57% (13/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 64% (7/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 42% (23/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 43% (10/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 100% (3/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 68% (15/22) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (46/78) | 59% (44/75) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (31/75) | 41% (32/78) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (77/153) | 50% (76/153) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 46% (11/24) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
49.1% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.83) |
|
1.88 ↑
(1.83) |
5%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pablo Carreno-Busta will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 60. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 98.
- Ugo Carabelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Carreno Busta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (LL) | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (25) | |
| 5 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Gaston H. | Jarry N. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) | Ofner S. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (15) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Vukic A. | Moreno De Alboran N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Korda S. (22) | |
| 13 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Fearnley J. | Fognini F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Bublik A. | Safiullin R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruud C. (6) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Diallo G. | Giron M. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Bellucci M. | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Hurkacz H. (30) | |
| 21 | Mensik J. (20) | Bye | |
| 22 | Rinderknech A. | Gigante M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Marozsan F. | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Rublev A. (16) | |
| 25 | Paul T. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Arnaldi M. | Bautista-Agut R. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tien L. | Opelka R. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Machac T. (19) | |
| 29 | Dellien H. (LL) | Bye | |
| 30 | Borges N. | Seyboth Wild T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Nardi L. (WC) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | De Minaur A. (7) | |
| 33 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Bu Y. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Kopriva V. (Q) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Baez S. (32) | |
| 37 | Humbert U. (21) | Bye | |
| 38 | Hijikata R. | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Altmaier D. | Comesana F. | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Rune H. (9) | |
| 41 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Passaro F. (WC) | Tseng C. H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Sonego L. | Burruchaga R. A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Khachanov K. (23) | |
| 45 | Michelsen A. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Djere L. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Nishioka Y. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (3) | |
| 49 | Musetti L. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Medjedovic H. | Virtanen O. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Nakashima B. (28) | |
| 53 | Popyrin A. (24) | Bye | |
| 54 | Taberner C. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | O'Connell C. | Norrie C. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Medvedev D. (10) | |
| 57 | Fils A. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Griekspoor T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Lehecka J. | Muller A. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (18) | |
| 61 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Carreno-Busta P. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Davidovich Fokina A. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Tiafoe F. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (12) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Korda S. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Berrettini M. (29) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bublik A. | Ruud C. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (4) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Martinez P. | Hurkacz H. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (20) | Gigante M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Marozsan F. | Rublev A. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Paul T. (11) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tien L. | Machac T. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dellien H. | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nardi L. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kopriva V. | Baez S. (32) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Humbert U. (RET.) (21) | Moutet C. | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Comesana F. | Rune H. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Passaro F. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Michelsen A. (31) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Lajovic D. | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Musetti L. (8) | Virtanen O. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. (WO.) (28) | |
| 27 | Popyrin A. (24) | Taberner C. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Norrie C. | Medvedev D. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Fils A. (13) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Muller A. | Tsitsipas S. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Shapovalov D. (27) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo F. (17) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Munar J. | Korda S. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. (RET.) (29) | Ruud C. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Giron M. | Hurkacz H. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (20) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Paul T. (11) | Machac T. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Dellien H. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Moutet C. | Rune H. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Passaro F. | Khachanov K. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Djere L. | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Musetti L. (8) | Nakashima B. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. (24) | Medvedev D. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fils A. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cerundolo F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Hurkacz H. (30) | Mensik J. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Paul T. (11) | De Minaur A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Moutet C. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (23) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Musetti L. (8) | Medvedev D. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fils A. (13) | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ruud C. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hurkacz H. (30) | Paul T. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Draper J. (5) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Musetti L. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Paul T. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Alcaraz C. (3) | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Alcaraz C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
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