Result
10:16
25/05/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 75 | 67 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 163 | 172 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 1642 | 1665 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (8 - 8)
- 15', Metcalf L. (Penalty Goal),
- 24', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
- 25', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Starling T. (Try),
- 33', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 8)
- 50', Metcalf L. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
- 63', Fogarty J. (Try),
- 64', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
New Zealand Warriors
51.2% | Draw
4.5% | Canberra Raiders
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-3%)
New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.71) |
20.4 ↑
(19.75) |
2.1 ↓
(2.3) |
8.4%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 44.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
- New Zealand has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Canberra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Canberra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 370:474. (average 18.5:23.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 172:242. (average 17.2:24.2).
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Warriors won against Canberra Raiders?
New Zealand Warriors has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canberra Raiders won against New Zealand Warriors?
Canberra Raiders has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders were as follows:
01.03.2025
Canberra Raiders
-
New Zealand Warriors
30:8
19.07.2024
Canberra Raiders
-
New Zealand Warriors
20:18
22.03.2024
New Zealand Warriors
-
Canberra Raiders
18:10
21.07.2023
New Zealand Warriors
-
Canberra Raiders
21:20
09.06.2023
Canberra Raiders
-
New Zealand Warriors
14:36
Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
Latest results of Canberra Raiders
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | 26 : 18 |
| 3 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Cronulla Sharks (5) | Sydney Roosters (8) | 20 : 10 |
| 5 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Brisbane Broncos (4) | 28 : 29 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Bye | |
| 8 | New Zealand Warriors (6) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 8 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | 12 : 32 |
| 3 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 26 : 46 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | |
| 2 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Penrith Panthers (7) | |
Final
