New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders
Result
10:16
25/05/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
12
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
24
Penalty Goals
22
Penalty Goal Attempts
22
Goals %
7567
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
163172
Metres Run With Ball
16421665

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (8 - 8)
  • 15', Metcalf L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 24', Tuivasa-Sheck R. (Try),
  • 25', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Starling T. (Try),
  • 33', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 8)
  • 50', Metcalf L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 59', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 63', Fogarty J. (Try),
  • 64', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
51.2%
Draw
4.5%
Canberra Raiders
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 4.7% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 4.8% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.71)
    20.4
    (19.75)
    2.1
    (2.3)
    8.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
    • New Zealand has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Canberra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Canberra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 370:474. (average 18.5:23.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 172:242. (average 17.2:24.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Canberra Raiders - New Zealand Warriors 30:8
    19.07.2024 Canberra Raiders - New Zealand Warriors 20:18
    22.03.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders 18:10
    21.07.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Canberra Raiders 21:20
    09.06.2023 Canberra Raiders - New Zealand Warriors 14:36
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels22814410:54620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )