Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders
Result
16:20 OT
22/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
33
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
6767
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
186212
Metres Run With Ball
17692023

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 6)
  • 15', McLean C. (Try),
  • 16', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Tapine J. (Try),
  • 32', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', McLean C. (Try),
  • 34', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 10)
  • 43', Martin L. (Try),
  • 45', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Sasagi S. (Try),
  • 59', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Strange E. (Try),
  • 77', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • Extra Time (0 - 4)
  • 84', Weekes K. (Try),

Chances of winning


Penrith Panthers
56.6%
Draw
4.7%
Canberra Raiders
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 4.3% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2% 4.2% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.67)
    19.66
    (21.5)
    2.39
    (2.3)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 41.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Penrith will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Canberra will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Canberra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Canberra has had a series of home games.
    • Penrith will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 483:409. (average 24.2:20.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 247:189. (average 24.7:18.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders 16:22
    24.08.2024 Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers 22:18
    31.03.2023 Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers 12:53
    Latest results of Penrith Panthers
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    5New Zealand Warriors21138437:42532
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters211110567:47528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels21714380:53620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans21516436:62316

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )