Canberra Raiders vs St. George Illawarra Dragons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons
Result
28:24
05/07/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 18
Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
55
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
8067
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
168168
Metres Run With Ball
18931608

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 6)
  • 20', Savage X. (Try),
  • 21', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 34', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
  • 37', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 38', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 40', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (16 - 18)
  • 43', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 45', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 48', Smithies M. (Try),
  • 50', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Su'A J. (Try),
  • 60', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 62', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 66', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 67', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Flanagan K. (Try),
  • 75', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
74.2%
Draw
3.6%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.5% 3.2% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 3.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra Raiders that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.32)
    26
    (29)
    4.18
    (3.53)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:17.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 4.
    • Canberra is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • St. George Illawarra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • St. George Illawarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Canberra has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Canberra is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 455:386. (average 22.8:19.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 192:169. (average 21.3:18.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    07.09.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders 24:26
    07.07.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders 26:36
    16.04.2023 Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons 20:14
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders17143462:35432
    2Melbourne Storm16124517:29730
    3Canterbury Bulldogs16124366:27030
    4New Zealand Warriors16115355:32428
    5Brisbane Broncos17107446:36624
    6Penrith Panthers1687354:32923
    7Manly Sea Eagles1688380:32222
    8Sydney Roosters1688403:38222
    9Cronulla Sharks1798390:38222
    10Dolphins1789490:34020
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons16610354:41018
    12NQ Cowboys17610344:48817
    13Newcastle Knights17611251:33616
    14Wests Tigers17611334:43616
    15Parramatta Eels16511297:42216
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs17611305:43416
    17Gold Coast Titans16412326:48214

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    germanyGermanySportdigital1+
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
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