St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders
Result
18:12
02/08/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
22
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
54
Penalty Goals
31
Penalty Goal Attempts
31
Goals %
6340
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
184154
Metres Run With Ball
16391384

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 10)
  • 10', Feagai M. (Try),
  • 11', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Timoko M. (Try),
  • 25', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 30', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 33', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 38', Timoko M. (Try),
  • 40', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (8 - 2)
  • 56', Allan C. (Try),
  • 58', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Flanagan K. (Penalty Goal),
  • 76', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
30.4%
Draw
4.3%
Canberra Raiders
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 3.6% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 4% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra Raiders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra Raiders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.45)
    21
    (26)
    1.43
    (1.58)
    7.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 19:26.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 0.
    • St. George Illawarra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Canberra is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • St. George Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Canberra is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 392:461. (average 19.6:23.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 217:263. (average 19.7:23.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons 28:24
    07.09.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders 24:26
    07.07.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders 26:36
    16.04.2023 Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons 20:14
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters211110567:47528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels21714380:53620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )