Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Trejo C. (A),
- 22', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Puente L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', 2 - 1, Trejo C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+5', Trejo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Jimenez E. 🟨,
- 58', Alonzo J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 65', Uscanga P. 🟨,
- 67', Campos K. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 67', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 67', Gonzalez J. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 67', Calzadilla L. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 74', Uscanga P. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 79', Ibarra J. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
- 80', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 87', Rodriguez J. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 87', Melendre F. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cancún 24.6% | Draw 28.4% | Atlante 47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cancún - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.78 ↑ (3.62) |
3.27 ↑ (2.8) |
1.98 ↓ (2.22) |
7.6% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Atlante?
Cancún has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Cancún?
Atlante has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Atlante were as follows:
02.11.2025
Atlante
-
Cancún
1:1
29.03.2025
Atlante
-
Cancún
4:1
12.10.2024
Cancún
-
Atlante
1:1
18.05.2024
Atlante
-
Cancún
0:1
15.05.2024
Cancún
-
Atlante
1:1
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)