Cancún vs Atlante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)

Match Stats

Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
26
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
715
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
412
Corner kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. , Trejo C. (A),
  • 22', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Puente L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 41', 2 - 1, Trejo C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+5', Trejo C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Jimenez E. 🟨,
  • 58', Alonzo J. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 65', Uscanga P. 🟨,
  • 67', Campos K. , Chavez A. ,
  • 67', Puente L. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 67', Gonzalez J. , Charcopa J. ,
  • 67', Calzadilla L. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 74', Uscanga P. , Lopez L. ,
  • 79', Ibarra J. , Bermudez C. ,
  • 80', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 87', Rodriguez J. , Barraza L. ,
  • 87', Melendre F. , Guzman G. ,

Chances of winning


Cancún
24.6%
Draw
28.4%
Atlante
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 32.9% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 31.9% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Cancún - Atlante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (3.62)
    3.27
    (2.8)
    1.98
    (2.22)
    7.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Atlante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Atlante were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Atlante - Cancún 1:1
    29.03.2025 Atlante - Cancún 4:1
    12.10.2024 Cancún - Atlante 1:1
    18.05.2024 Atlante - Cancún 0:1
    15.05.2024 Cancún - Atlante 1:1
    Latest results of Cancún
    03.04.2026 Correcaminos UAT - Cancún 1:3
    21.03.2026 Irapuato - Cancún 2:2
    14.03.2026 Cancún - Atlético La Paz 1:1
    06.03.2026 Tapatío - Cancún 1:2
    Latest results of Atlante
    27.03.2026 Venados - Atlante 4:1
    21.03.2026 Atlante - Dorados 2:0
    18.03.2026 Tlaxcala - Atlante 1:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ 1475221:101126
    2Atl. Morelia1372418:11723
    3Cancun1364322:16622
    4Atletico La Paz1356221:111021
    5Tapatio1362527:21620
    6Zacatecas Mineros1362519:20-120
    7Atlante1354420:16419
    8Irapuato1361627:24319
    9Tlaxcala1354414:15-119
    10Jaiba Brava1353514:15-118
    11Venados1343623:23015
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1334617:28-1113
    13Correcaminos1333713:24-1112
    14Leones Negros1325614:23-911
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1324714:27-1310

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)