Result
1:2
24/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.80 | 1.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
75% (292/387) | 69% (200/289) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.80 | 1.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.93 | 1.62 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
7 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
75% (292/387) | 69% (200/289) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (34/72) | 36% (26/72) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (70/112) | 58% (70/121) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (1/7) | 7% (1/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 0.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
74% (17/23) | 96% (22/23) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 66 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.62 | 0.93 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.38 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Londono F. ⚽, Berrios J. (A),
- 4', Lucena A. 🟨,
- 34', Canon M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 35', Neira E. 🟨,
- 37', Perez J. 🟨,
- 43', Ibarguen L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Alvarez L. ⚽, Mosquera L. (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, Orozco Y. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 64', Vargas C. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 64', Castro M. ↓, Amaya M. ↑,
- 65', Berrios J. ↓, Aponte L. ↑,
- 73', Orozco Y. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 74', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
- 75', Cuero J. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
- 84', Cuero J. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
- 84', Ordonez E. ↓, Viez V. ↑,
- 85', Londono F. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
- 86', Nunez M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yaracuyanos 13% | Draw 23% | Carabobo 64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-20%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yaracuyanos - Carabobo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.47 ↑ (3.17) |
4.22 ↑ (3.08) |
1.52 ↓ (2.18) |
2.9% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yaracuyanos - Carabobo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Yaracuyanos will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Carabobo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 2.
- Yaracuyanos has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Carabobo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Carabobo is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Carabobo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yaracuyanos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Yaracuyanos won against Carabobo?
Yaracuyanos has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Yaracuyanos?
Carabobo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yaracuyanos - Carabobo were as follows:
15.02.2025
Carabobo
-
Yaracuyanos
2:2
27.06.2024
Yaracuyanos
-
Carabobo
2:0
06.06.2024
Carabobo
-
Yaracuyanos
0:2
Latest results of Yaracuyanos
Latest results of Carabobo
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
7 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
14 | Yaracuyanos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )