Yaracuyanos vs Carabobo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Venezuelan Primera Division Yaracuyanos - Carabobo
Result
1:2
24/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.47
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
75% (292/387)69% (200/289)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.801.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.62
Total shots
912
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
717
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
75% (292/387)69% (200/289)
Long passes
47% (34/72)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)58% (70/121)
Crosses
14% (1/7)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.75
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
2016
Tackles
74% (17/23)96% (22/23)
Duels won
5266
Clearances
1612
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.620.93
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Londono F. , Berrios J. (A),
  • 4', Lucena A. 🟨,
  • 34', Canon M. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 35', Neira E. 🟨,
  • 37', Perez J. 🟨,
  • 43', Ibarguen L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Alvarez L. , Mosquera L. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 2, Orozco Y. , Perez J. (A),
  • 64', Vargas C. , Gonzalez K. ,
  • 64', Castro M. , Amaya M. ,
  • 65', Berrios J. , Aponte L. ,
  • 73', Orozco Y. , Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ,
  • 74', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
  • 75', Cuero J. 🟨,
  • 84', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
  • 84', Cuero J. , Navas Barrera V. H. ,
  • 84', Ordonez E. , Viez V. ,
  • 85', Londono F. , Riasco J. ,
  • 86', Nunez M. , Lopez F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yaracuyanos
13%
Draw
23%
Carabobo
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 29.5% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 28% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.
  • Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-20%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Yaracuyanos - Carabobo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.47
    (3.17)
    4.22
    (3.08)
    1.52
    (2.18)
    2.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yaracuyanos - Carabobo?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yaracuyanos will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Carabobo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 2.
    • Yaracuyanos has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carabobo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Carabobo is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Carabobo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yaracuyanos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yaracuyanos - Carabobo were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Carabobo - Yaracuyanos 2:2
    27.06.2024 Yaracuyanos - Carabobo 2:0
    06.06.2024 Carabobo - Yaracuyanos 0:2
    Latest results of Yaracuyanos
    Latest results of Carabobo
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira440011:11012
    2Dep. Tachira43107:3410
    3Carabobo43106:2410
    4Caracas43016:609
    5Puerto Cabello42116:427
    6Monagas42023:4-16
    7Universidad Central41124:404
    8Metropolitanos41127:8-14
    9Estudiantes Merida41123:4-14
    10Portuguesa41122:3-14
    11Zamora41123:6-34
    12Anzoategui FC41032:6-43
    13Rayo Zuliano41033:8-53
    14Yaracuyanos40043:7-40

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