Result
1:2
24/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (292/387) | 69% (200/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (292/387) | 69% (200/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 36% (26/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/112) | 58% (70/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 96% (22/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Londono F. ⚽, Berrios J. (A),
- 4', Lucena A. 🟨,
- 34', Canon M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 35', Neira E. 🟨,
- 37', Perez J. 🟨,
- 43', Ibarguen L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Alvarez L. ⚽, Mosquera L. (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, Orozco Y. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 64', Vargas C. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
- 64', Castro M. ↓, Amaya M. ↑,
- 65', Berrios J. ↓, Aponte L. ↑,
- 73', Orozco Y. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 74', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
- 75', Cuero J. 🟨,
- 84', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
- 84', Cuero J. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
- 84', Ordonez E. ↓, Viez V. ↑,
- 85', Londono F. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
- 86', Nunez M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yaracuyanos
13% | Draw
23% | Carabobo
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-20%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yaracuyanos - Carabobo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.47 ↑
(3.17) |
4.22 ↑
(3.08) |
1.52 ↓
(2.18) |
2.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yaracuyanos - Carabobo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Yaracuyanos will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Carabobo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 2.
- Yaracuyanos has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Carabobo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Carabobo is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Carabobo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yaracuyanos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Yaracuyanos won against Carabobo?
Yaracuyanos has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Yaracuyanos?
Carabobo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yaracuyanos - Carabobo were as follows:
15.02.2025
Carabobo
-
Yaracuyanos
2:2
27.06.2024
Yaracuyanos
-
Carabobo
2:0
06.06.2024
Carabobo
-
Yaracuyanos
0:2
Latest results of Yaracuyanos
Latest results of Carabobo
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
