Result
05/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 3 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 3 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
42.7% | Draw
28.1% | Caracas
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Independiente Petroleros - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.34) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
3.19 ↑
(2.85) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Caracas?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Petroleros will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Petroleros will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ind Petroleros has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Caracas has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Petroleros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Caracas?
Independiente Petroleros has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Independiente Petroleros?
Caracas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Caracas were as follows:
15.04.2026
Caracas
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Caracas
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Macara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vasco | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
