Caracas vs Independiente Petroleros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Caracas
63.1%
Draw
23.6%
Independiente Petroleros
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 24.8% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 23.8% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.
  • Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Caracas - Independiente Petroleros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.61)
    3.93
    (3.7)
    6.99
    (5)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Caracas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ind Petroleros is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Caracas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Caracas
    09.04.2026 Botafogo RJ - Caracas 1:1
    03.04.2026 Caracas - Metropolitanos 1:0
    22.03.2026 Monagas - Caracas 1:1
    17.03.2026 Caracas - Trujillanos 4:2
    Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)