Result
3:1
11/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (326/423) | 75% (262/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (326/423) | 75% (262/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 19% (11/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (78/119) | 68% (48/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 48% (13/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -2.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Washington M. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 17', Twose C. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Perrett T. ⚽, Ola D. (A),
- 39', Copley L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ola D. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
- 50', Debono A. 🟨,
- 55', Parfitt T. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 58', Davies I. 🟨,
- 59', Rojas A. 🟥,
- 61', Dudziak H. ↓, Mitchell R. ↑,
- 62', Kamara O. ↓, Bailey-Joseph B. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Spiers W. ⚽, Twose C. (A),
- 72', Washington M. ↓, Ogunnaike J. ↑,
- 72', Ibrahim I. ↓, Julienne T. ↑,
- 79', Pearce L. ↓, Sykes J. ↑,
- 86', Onyekachukwu S. ↓, Stevens A. ↑,
- 87', Perrett T. ↓, Watts H. ↑,
- 90+2', Lannin-Sweet W. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, George T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
40.3% | Draw
21.5% | Arsenal U21
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.Arsenal U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal U21's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cardiff City - Arsenal U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(1.78) |
4.43 ↑
(3.88) |
2.44 ↓
(3.84) |
5.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Arsenal U21?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Arsenal U21 (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Cardiff (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Arsenal U21 will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal U21 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Arsenal U21 (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Arsenal U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Arsenal U21?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal U21 won against Cardiff City?
Arsenal U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Arsenal U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Arsenal U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
