Cardiff City vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Cardiff City - Burnley
Result
1:2
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
hungaryHungaryNet4+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.43
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
56
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
79
Offsides
21
Fouls
97
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
3319
Touches in the Opposition Box
1832
Passes
80% (388/485)81% (372/461)
Passes in the final third
67% (100/149)78% (124/160)
Crosses
26% (7/27)29% (4/14)
Tackles
57% (12/21)38% (5/13)
Clearances Total
1728
Interceptions
610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Brownhill J. , Mejbri H. (A),
  • 40', 0 - 2, Esteve M. , Flemming Z. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Salech Y. , Bagan J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Robertson A. , Colwill R. ,
  • 46', Rinomhota A. , Fish W. ,
  • 61', Mannsverk S. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 61', Ashford C. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 71', Bagan J. , Robinson C. ,
  • 72', Mejbri H. , Laurent J. ,
  • 72', Flemming Z. , Foster L. ,
  • 79', Edwards M. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 88', Anthony J. , Worrall J. ,
  • 90+1', Lucas Pires 🟨,
  • 90+2', Trafford J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Sarmiento J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
22.6%
Draw
29.4%
Burnley
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 27.8% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7% 26.8% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Cardiff City - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.26
    (4.2)
    3.25
    (3.4)
    1.98
    (1.9)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: Burnley will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.97%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0.
    • Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burnley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cardiff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Burnley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Muscle Injury) Daland J. (Calf Injury) Goutas D. (Red Card) Tanner O. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Burnley were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Burnley - Cardiff City 5:0
    08.05.2023 Burnley - Cardiff City 3:0
    01.10.2022 Cardiff City - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Burnley
    12.02.2025 Burnley - Hull City 2:0
    08.02.2025 Southampton - Burnley 0:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One