Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/451) | 83% (427/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (377/451) | 83% (427/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 43% (33/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (72/102) | 73% (125/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 65% (17/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Colwill J. ⚽, Chambers C. (A),
- 34', Edwards M. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 2, Robinson C. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
- 61', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 67', Wintle R. 🟨,
- 68', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
- 77', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 77', Colwill R. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 77', Colwill J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 78', Edwards M. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
- 78', Broja A. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 87', Flemming Z. ↓, Clark E. ↑,
- 90', Ashford C. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burnley
48.7% | Draw
26.8% | Cardiff City
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burnley - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.55) |
3.55 ↓
(4.36) |
3.9 ↓
(5.32) |
4.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4.
- Burnley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cardiff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Burnley has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Burnley is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Tanner O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Bruun Larsen J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Inactive)
Robertson A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Cardiff City?
Burnley has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Burnley?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Cardiff City were as follows:
04.03.2025
Cardiff City
-
Burnley
1:2
17.08.2024
Burnley
-
Cardiff City
5:0
08.05.2023
Burnley
-
Cardiff City
3:0
01.10.2022
Cardiff City
-
Burnley
1:1
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Cardiff City
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
