Crawley Town vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crawley Town - Carlisle United
Result
2:5
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
24.7%
Draw
28.3%
Carlisle United
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 29.1% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 28.7% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Crawley Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (3.5)
    3.34
    (3.2)
    2
    (2.11)
    6.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Carlisle will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 13.8%69.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Crawley has the most likely position - 22 (22.02%), has project points - 47, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Carlisle has the most likely position - 5 (13.89%), has project points - 75, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • This event has small quality 10, importance 40, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
    • Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Carlisle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Carlisle have a series of home games.
    • Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 22 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-32.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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