Salford City vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.61
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
64% (181/283)75% (264/353)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.61
xG on target (xGOT)
4.031.86
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3321
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
814
Passes
64% (181/283)75% (264/353)
Long passes
27% (19/70)30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
55% (72/131)57% (59/104)
Crosses
26% (7/27)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.170.40
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
148
Tackles
55% (11/20)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
2656
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.864.03
Goals prevented
-0.140.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Watson L. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Oluwo A. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Oluwo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 47', McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 53', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Butcher M. , Grant J. (A),
  • 55', Oluwo A. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Forster H. ,
  • 61', Mnoga H. , Cesay K. ,
  • 61', Butcher M. , Austerfield J. ,
  • 64', McKirdy H. , Roles J. ,
  • 64', Adeyemo A. , Pereira D. ,
  • 64', Flower L. , Dixon K. ,
  • 69', Stockton C. , Borini F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Williams J. , Roles J. (A),
  • 85', 3 - 3, Austerfield J. , Harris K. (A),
  • 86', 4 - 3, Cesay K. , Austerfield J. (A),
  • 90', Harris K. , Berkoe K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Salford City
52.6%
Draw
24.2%
Crawley Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 23% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 22.5% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Salford City - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.71)
    3.91
    (4.04)
    4.03
    (4.08)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Salford City - Crawley Town?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Salford City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Salford is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Barker C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Crawley Town were as follows:
    13.01.2024 Crawley Town - Salford City 0:1
    12.08.2023 Salford City - Crawley Town 1:1
    28.01.2023 Crawley Town - Salford City 3:2
    03.09.2022 Salford City - Crawley Town 2:2
    Latest results of Salford City
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League