Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (388/496) | 65% (224/342) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (76/121) | 55% (78/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 36% (4/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 82% (18/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 45 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Maycock C. ⚽, Smith A. (A),
- 15', Furlong J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 2, Smith A. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
- 54', Bevan J. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
- 66', Maycock C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
- 66', Furlong J. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
- 66', Guy C. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
- 66', Vela J. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Dennis M. ⚽,
- 79', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
- 86', Jones J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 86', Dennis M. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 87', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lavelle S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
29.6% | Draw
31.4% | AFC Wimbledon
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Carlisle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3%)
Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(3.16) |
2.98 ↓
(3.23) |
2.43 ↑
(2.25) |
6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Wimbledon is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Dummett P.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Harper C.
(Injury)
McArthur C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against AFC Wimbledon?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Carlisle United?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
12.10.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Carlisle United
4:0
11.02.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Carlisle United
0:0
17.09.2022
Carlisle United
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
