Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	3.00
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
11	9
Shots on Goal
4	4
Shots off Goal
4	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
6	5
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
16	14
Offsides
3	0
Fouls
14	16
Yellow Cards
4	3
Throw-ins
23	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	18
Passes
69% (252/367)	68% (228/337)
Passes in the final third
59% (95/161)	60% (58/96)
Crosses
16% (5/31)	13% (2/15)
Tackles
61% (11/18)	80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
21	51
Interceptions
7	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Dummett P. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
18', Wiredu B. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Scott C. ⚽, Harris K. (A),
23', Patching W. 🟨,
44', Potter F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Potter F. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
56', Bennett R. 🟨,
62', Patching W. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
62', Scott C. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
64', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
65', Broom R. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. ⚽, Harratt K. (A),
73', Bennett R. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
73', Coughlan R. ↓, Mayor D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Lavelle S. ⚽,
87', Williams J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
88', Hugill J. 🟨,
90+2', Breeze G. 🟨,
90+2', Rooney S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fleetwood Town
55.1%

Draw
26.2%

Carlisle United
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

25.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	5.1 ↑ (3.72)	6.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.
Fleetwood is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlisle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fleetwood is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Carlisle United?

Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Fleetwood Town?

Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United were as follows:

14.09.2024 Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town 2:3

26.12.2023 Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United 1:1

05.08.2023 Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town 1:1

20.09.2022 Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town 2:1

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

21.01.2025 Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Salford City - Fleetwood Town 0:2 ✺

01.01.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town 2:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 1:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Chesterfield 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlisle United

18.01.2025 Carlisle United - Bradford City 0:1 ✺

04.01.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United 1:0 ✺

01.01.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Carlisle United 3:2 ✺

29.12.2024 Carlisle United - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Carlisle United - Morecambe 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League