Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 3.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 14 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 16 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 16 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
26 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
69% (252/367) | 68% (228/337) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
59% (95/161) | 60% (58/96) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (5/31) | 13% (2/15) |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 80% (12/15) |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 51 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Dummett P. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
- 18', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Scott C. ⚽, Harris K. (A),
- 23', Patching W. 🟨,
- 44', Potter F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Potter F. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
- 56', Bennett R. 🟨,
- 62', Patching W. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 62', Scott C. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 64', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 65', Broom R. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. ⚽, Harratt K. (A),
- 73', Bennett R. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
- 73', Coughlan R. ↓, Mayor D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Lavelle S. ⚽,
- 87', Williams J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
- 88', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Breeze G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rooney S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town 55.1% | Draw 26.2% | Carlisle United 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.93) |
3.59 ↑ (3.55) |
5.1 ↑ (3.72) |
6.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.
- Fleetwood is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carlisle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fleetwood is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Carlisle United?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Fleetwood Town?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
14.09.2024
Carlisle United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:3
26.12.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Carlisle United
1:1
05.08.2023
Carlisle United
-
Fleetwood Town
1:1
20.09.2022
Carlisle United
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League