Fleetwood Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United
Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.533.00
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
119
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1614
Offsides
30
Fouls
1416
Yellow Cards
43
Throw-ins
2316
Touches in the Opposition Box
2618
Passes
69% (252/367)68% (228/337)
Passes in the final third
59% (95/161)60% (58/96)
Crosses
16% (5/31)13% (2/15)
Tackles
61% (11/18)80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
2151
Interceptions
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Dummett P. , Thomas T. ,
  • 18', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Scott C. , Harris K. (A),
  • 23', Patching W. 🟨,
  • 44', Potter F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Potter F. , Harratt K. ,
  • 56', Bennett R. 🟨,
  • 62', Patching W. , Embleton E. ,
  • 62', Scott C. , Fusire S. ,
  • 64', Virtue-Thick M. , Neal H. ,
  • 65', Broom R. , Hunt M. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. , Harratt K. (A),
  • 73', Bennett R. , Rooney S. ,
  • 73', Coughlan R. , Mayor D. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Lavelle S. ,
  • 87', Williams J. , Harper C. ,
  • 88', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Rooney S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
55.1%
Draw
26.2%
Carlisle United
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.3% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 25.6% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleetwood Town's performance.
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.93)
    3.59
    (3.55)
    5.1
    (3.72)
    6.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.
    • Fleetwood is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carlisle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fleetwood is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town 2:3
    26.12.2023 Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United 1:1
    05.08.2023 Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town 1:1
    20.09.2022 Carlisle United - Fleetwood Town 2:1
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League