Crown Legacy vs Carolina Core – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
04/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.06
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (408/466)78% (214/275)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.31
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
30
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
88% (408/466)78% (214/275)
Long passes
71% (40/56)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
74% (86/117)62% (44/71)
Crosses
22% (6/27)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.37
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1512
Tackles
79% (11/14)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.312.22
Goals prevented
-2.690.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Canete F. , Juarez J. (A), Alenga M. (A2)
  • 9', 1 - 1, Miller A. (Own goal),
  • 15', Coulibaly B. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Miller A. , Canete F. (A),
  • 45+1', Miller A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Sing D. , Romero B. (A),
  • 54', Neeley J. 🟨,
  • 56', Smalls M. 🟨,
  • 61', Miller A. , Evans J. ,
  • 61', Ibarra J. , Sumo A. ,
  • 68', Smalls M. , Uchegbu E. ,
  • 68', Goodwin A. , Thiago ,
  • 68', Petkovic N. , Mendoza A. ,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Sumo A. ,
  • 75', 2 - 4, Evans J. , Canete F. (A),
  • 82', Pineda T. , Lundeen C. ,
  • 83', Leonardi P. , Covi I. ,
  • 83', Coulibaly B. , Tonidandel S. ,
  • 83', Neeley J. , Tcheuyap Y. ,
  • 88', Covi I. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 4, Thiago (Pen),
  • 90+4', Mendoza A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Thomas M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crown Legacy
42.1%
Draw
26.1%
Carolina Core
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 25.2% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26.4% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Crown Legacy - Carolina Core Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.13)
    3.54
    (3.59)
    2.9
    (2.81)
    8.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Crown Legacy - Carolina Core?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carolina Core (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Carolina Core will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 11)
    • Crown Legacy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carolina Core's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Crown Legacy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Crown Legacy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Crown Legacy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crown Legacy - Carolina Core were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Crown Legacy - Carolina Core 0:1
    26.04.2025 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 1:2
    14.09.2024 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 2:1
    13.07.2024 Carolina Core - Crown Legacy 2:1
    Latest results of Crown Legacy
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)