Chattanooga vs Carolina Core – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (292/347)84% (302/359)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.40
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
84% (292/347)84% (302/359)
Long passes
58% (30/52)61% (46/75)
Passes in final third
69% (76/110)66% (55/83)
Crosses
7% (1/15)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.52
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1110
Tackles
72% (13/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4329
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.400.09
Goals prevented
0.400.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Chica D. 🟨,
  • 35', Koehler N. 🟨,
  • 44', Garvanian M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Koehler N. , Brown L. ,
  • 59', Ibarra J. , Sumo A. ,
  • 59', Miller A. , Evans J. ,
  • 60', Husakiwsky L. , Mendonca N. ,
  • 61', Mangarov D. , Ancelin K. ,
  • 62', Thomas K. 🟨,
  • 72', Pineda T. , Nzingo G. ,
  • 76', Garcia A. , Thomas C. ,
  • 86', Leonardi P. , Cuevas D. ,
  • 86', Juarez J. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 88', Turner G. , Naglestad M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 1, Evans J. (Pen),
  • 2, Naglestad M. (Pen),
  • 2, Sutton A. (Pen),
  • 3, Garvanian M. (Pen),
  • 3, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
  • 4, Cohen Y. (Pen),
  • 4, Thomas K. (Pen),
  • 5, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 5, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 6, Mendonca N. (Pen),
  • 6, Sumo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Brown L. (Pen),
  • 7, Scarlett Z. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
40%
Draw
26.7%
Carolina Core
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 25.9% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Chattanooga - Carolina Core Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.34)
    3.48
    (3.5)
    2.78
    (2.58)
    8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Chattanooga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Carolina Core were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 0:1
    13.04.2025 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 1:4
    17.07.2024 Carolina Core - Chattanooga 2:1
    22.06.2024 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 1:2
    27.04.2024 Chattanooga - Carolina Core 2:0
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)