Result
3:2
30/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.50 | 1.75 |
Ball Possession |
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51% | 49% |
Total shots |
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10 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Passes |
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79% (269/341) | 76% (248/326) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.50 | 1.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.74 | 1.53 |
Total shots |
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10 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 10 |
Passes |
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79% (269/341) | 76% (248/326) |
Long passes |
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49% (34/69) | 47% (26/55) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (47/68) | 63% (78/123) |
Crosses |
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56% (5/9) | 39% (7/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.98 | 0.60 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 23 |
Fouls |
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10 | 16 |
Tackles |
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75% (15/20) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
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58 | 52 |
Clearances |
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23 | 15 |
Interceptions |
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16 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.53 | 2.74 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.47 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽, LeBlanc K. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Nzingo G. (Pen),
- 25', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Canete F. (A), Juarez J. (A2)
- 33', Alenga M. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 2, Olivas S. (Pen),
- 45+1', Chica D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 2, Nzingo G. (Pen),
- 65', Jakupovic M. ↓, Davis E. ↑,
- 65', Benitez O. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 71', Uzcategui R. 🟨,
- 76', LeBlanc K. ↓, Soria L. ↑,
- 77', Olivas S. ↓, Korzeniowski S. ↑,
- 78', Covi I. 🟨,
- 80', Leonardi P. ↓, Scarlett Z. ↑,
- 82', Anderson M. ↓, Ferreira W. ↑,
- 87', Rodriguez J. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
- 87', Evans J. ↓, Miller A. ↑,
- 90+2', Sequera G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nzingo G. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+6', Pariano N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carolina Core 25.7% | Draw 25.8% | Philadelphia Union II 48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.58 ↓ (3.79) |
3.57 ↓ (3.68) |
1.9 ↑ (1.8) |
8.8% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union II will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Philadelphia II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Philadelphia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Philadelphia II might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Core won against Philadelphia Union II?
Carolina Core has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union II won against Carolina Core?
Philadelphia Union II has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
11.09.2024
Carolina Core
-
Philadelphia Union II
0:2
Latest results of Carolina Core
Latest results of Philadelphia Union II
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45:17 | 42 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 20 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 52:36 | 38 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31:22 | 33 |
5 | New York City II | 21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 40:43 | 29 |
6 | Toronto FC II | 21 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 25:34 | 28 |
7 | Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 26 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20:41 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Huntsville | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 35 |
2 | Chattanooga | 21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 33:33 | 35 |
3 | Orlando City B | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 29:43 | 27 |
4 | Carolina Core | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:27 | 27 |
5 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 30:39 | 26 |
6 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | 22 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | 21 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Ventura County | 20 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 42:34 | 37 |
2 | Town FC | 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 44:25 | 36 |
3 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 32 |
4 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 44:42 | 28 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 32:38 | 25 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31:41 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 45:27 | 46 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 38:31 | 35 |
3 | Austin FC II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:23 | 32 |
4 | North Texas | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 34:40 | 31 |
5 | Minnesota 2 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33:33 | 29 |
6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 29:35 | 26 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20:49 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 49:42 | 42 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45:17 | 42 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 20 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 52:36 | 38 |
4 | Huntsville | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 35 |
5 | Chattanooga | 21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 33:33 | 35 |
6 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 31:22 | 33 |
7 | New York City II | 21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 40:43 | 29 |
8 | Toronto FC II | 21 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 25:34 | 28 |
9 | Orlando City B | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 29:43 | 27 |
10 | Carolina Core | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:27 | 27 |
11 | Crown Legacy | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 30:39 | 26 |
12 | Cincinnati 2 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19:24 | 26 |
13 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | 22 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32:45 | 21 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 20:41 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 45:27 | 46 |
2 | Ventura County | 20 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 42:34 | 37 |
3 | Town FC | 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 44:25 | 36 |
4 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 38:31 | 35 |
5 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 32 |
6 | Austin FC II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:23 | 32 |
7 | North Texas | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 34:40 | 31 |
8 | Minnesota 2 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33:33 | 29 |
9 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 44:42 | 28 |
10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 29:35 | 26 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 32:38 | 25 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 45:48 | 23 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 31:41 | 23 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20:49 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)