Carolina Core vs Philadelphia Union II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.75
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
79% (269/341)76% (248/326)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.501.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.741.53
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
79% (269/341)76% (248/326)
Long passes
49% (34/69)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (47/68)63% (78/123)
Crosses
56% (5/9)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.60
Throw-ins
1223
Fouls
1016
Tackles
75% (15/20)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
168
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.532.74
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Anderson M. , LeBlanc K. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 25', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. , Canete F. (A), Juarez J. (A2)
  • 33', Alenga M. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 2, Olivas S. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Chica D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Nzingo G. (Pen),
  • 65', Jakupovic M. , Davis E. ,
  • 65', Benitez O. , Johnson J. ,
  • 71', Uzcategui R. 🟨,
  • 76', LeBlanc K. , Soria L. ,
  • 77', Olivas S. , Korzeniowski S. ,
  • 78', Covi I. 🟨,
  • 80', Leonardi P. , Scarlett Z. ,
  • 82', Anderson M. , Ferreira W. ,
  • 87', Rodriguez J. , Polanco D. ,
  • 87', Evans J. , Miller A. ,
  • 90+2', Sequera G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nzingo G. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 90+6', Pariano N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carolina Core
25.7%
Draw
25.8%
Philadelphia Union II
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 24.9% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.79)
    3.57
    (3.68)
    1.9
    (1.8)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Philadelphia II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Philadelphia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Philadelphia II might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
    11.09.2024 Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II 0:2
    Latest results of Carolina Core
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)