Result
3:2
30/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (269/341) | 76% (248/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (269/341) | 76% (248/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/69) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (47/68) | 63% (78/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽, LeBlanc K. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Nzingo G. (Pen),
- 25', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Canete F. (A), Juarez J. (A2)
- 33', Alenga M. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 2, Olivas S. (Pen),
- 45+1', Chica D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 2, Nzingo G. (Pen),
- 65', Jakupovic M. ↓, Davis E. ↑,
- 65', Benitez O. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 71', Uzcategui R. 🟨,
- 76', LeBlanc K. ↓, Soria L. ↑,
- 77', Olivas S. ↓, Korzeniowski S. ↑,
- 78', Covi I. 🟨,
- 80', Leonardi P. ↓, Scarlett Z. ↑,
- 82', Anderson M. ↓, Ferreira W. ↑,
- 87', Rodriguez J. ↓, Polanco D. ↑,
- 87', Evans J. ↓, Miller A. ↑,
- 90+2', Sequera G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nzingo G. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+6', Pariano N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carolina Core
25.7% | Draw
25.8% | Philadelphia Union II
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(3.79) |
3.57 ↓
(3.68) |
1.9 ↑
(1.8) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union II will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In recent matches, Carolina Core has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Philadelphia II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Philadelphia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Philadelphia II might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Carolina Core won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Core won against Philadelphia Union II?
Carolina Core has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union II won against Carolina Core?
Philadelphia Union II has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
11.09.2024
Carolina Core
-
Philadelphia Union II
0:2
Latest results of Carolina Core
Latest results of Philadelphia Union II
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
