Result
05/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Carpi
34.7% | Draw
30.3% | Perugia
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carpi - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.89) |
3 ↓
(3.2) |
2.6 ↑
(2.31) |
10.1%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 1.
- Recent form of Carpi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Perugia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Perugia?
Carpi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Carpi?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carpi - Perugia were as follows:
10.01.2025
Perugia
-
Carpi
1:0
08.09.2024
Carpi
-
Perugia
2:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Gubbio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Pianese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Campobasso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Guidonia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Forli | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Pineto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Carpi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Livorno | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Pontedera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Torres | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Bra | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Perugia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
