Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Rossini M. ⚽,
- 27', Rondolini P. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Casarini F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Manzari G. ↓, Terrnava D. ↑,
- 46', Rondolini P. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
- 46', Verza N. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
- 50', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
- 59', Cortesi M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
- 59', Rosetti M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
- 64', Giardino C. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
- 65', Giraudo F. ↓, Yabre M. ↑,
- 73', Calapai L. ↓, Matos ↑,
- 74', Rossini M. 🟨,
- 76', Figoli M. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
- 82', Casarini F. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carpi
52% | Draw
28.5% | Perugia
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carpi's performance.Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perugia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+22%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carpi - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.89) |
4.34 ↑
(3.2) |
6.34 ↑
(2.31) |
-19.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 1.
- Carpi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Perugia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Perugia?
Carpi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Carpi?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carpi - Perugia were as follows:
10.01.2025
Perugia
-
Carpi
1:0
08.09.2024
Carpi
-
Perugia
2:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Forli | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Carpi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Pineto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Gubbio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
