Carpi vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Carpi - Perugia
Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
64
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Rossini M. ,
  • 27', Rondolini P. 🟨,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Casarini F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Manzari G. , Terrnava D. ,
  • 46', Rondolini P. , Bartolomei P. ,
  • 46', Verza N. , Rigo M. ,
  • 50', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
  • 59', Cortesi M. , Stanzani L. ,
  • 59', Rosetti M. , Pietra N. ,
  • 64', Giardino C. , Montevago D. ,
  • 65', Giraudo F. , Yabre M. ,
  • 73', Calapai L. , Matos ,
  • 74', Rossini M. 🟨,
  • 76', Figoli M. , Lombardi L. ,
  • 82', Casarini F. , Forte R. ,

Chances of winning


Carpi
52%
Draw
28.5%
Perugia
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 28.6% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 27.4% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carpi's performance.
  • Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perugia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-21.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+22%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carpi - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.89)
    4.34
    (3.2)
    6.34
    (2.31)
    -19.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 1.
    • Carpi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Perugia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carpi - Perugia were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Perugia - Carpi 1:0
    08.09.2024 Carpi - Perugia 2:0
    Latest results of Carpi
    27.09.2025 Arezzo - Carpi 3:1
    23.09.2025 Carpi - Ravenna 1:2
    20.09.2025 Sambenedettese - Carpi 0:1
    14.09.2025 Ternana - Carpi 2:0
    06.09.2025 Carpi - Campobasso 2:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    27.09.2025 Perugia - Pianese 0:1
    23.09.2025 Perugia - Sambenedettese 1:2
    19.09.2025 Ravenna - Perugia 3:2
    14.09.2025 Perugia - Ascoli 0:2
    06.09.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Guidonia115248:7117
    6Forli1051411:8316
    7Campobasso1043315:10515
    8Carpi1043313:12115
    9Pineto1042415:12314
    10Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    11Juventus U231142516:18-214
    12Pianese1034310:10013
    13Gubbio103437:9-213
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini103166:12-6-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation