Cartagena vs Granada: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena).

: LaLiga2 - Round 36
Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.68	2.19
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
7	8
Big Chances
4	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
84% (370/439)	84% (352/418)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68	2.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.48	3.46
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
7	8
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
4	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
23	30
Through passes
100% (2/2)	100% (2/2)
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
13	18
Passes
84% (370/439)	84% (352/418)
Long passes
35% (14/40)	52% (29/56)
Passes in final third
71% (74/104)	73% (97/133)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.41	2.42
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
60% (9/15)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
45	52
Clearances Total
24	18
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
3.46	2.48
Goals prevented
0.46	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
22', Trigueros M. 🟨,
24', Machin J. 🟨,
28', Millan A. (Pen),
29', 1 - 1, Rubio M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Boye L. ⚽, Hongla M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 3, Trigueros M. ⚽, Neva C. (A),
56', Machin J. ↓, Andy ↑,
56', Mini ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
56', El Jebari S. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
60', Rebbach A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 3, Nunez R. ⚽, Escriche D. (A),
65', Rebbach A. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
66', Trigueros M. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
72', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
72', Millan A. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
75', Moreno J. 🟨,
76', Ndiaye Dione A. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
80', Boye L. ↓, Baston B. ↑,
80', Hongla M. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
90', Rubio M. ↓, Lama M. ↑,
90+2', Aguirregabiria M. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Cartagena
12.6%

Draw
22.4%

Granada
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

24.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Granada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Cartagena - Granada Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.42 ↑ (5.59)	4.15 ↑ (3.73)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cartagena - Granada?

Users Predictions: Granada will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Granada will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Cartagena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Granada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Granada is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Valles G. (Injury)
There will not play in Granada: Brau M. (Muscle Injury) Weissman S. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

How many head-to-head matches has Cartagena won against Granada?

Cartagena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Cartagena?

Granada has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Granada were as follows:

17.12.2024 Granada - Cartagena 4:1

08.01.2023 Granada - Cartagena 1:0

30.10.2022 Cartagena - Granada 0:0

Latest results of Cartagena

13.04.2025 Almería - Cartagena 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Cartagena - Castellón 2:2 ✺

23.03.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Cartagena 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Cartagena - Burgos 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Granada

13.04.2025 Albacete Balompié - Granada 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Granada - Almería 3:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Tenerife - Granada 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Cartagena - Granada?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, #Vamos
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter