Result
2:3
20/01/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (222/293) | 88% (483/549) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 64% (46/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 33% (3/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 45% (5/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
- 9', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Abascal R. (Own goal),
- 43', 0 - 2, Ferreira F. (Own goal),
- 45', 1 - 2, Onyemaechi B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vukotic I. ↓, Agra S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 3, Livolant J. ⚽,
- 53', Reisinho M. 🟨,
- 59', Namora M. ↓, Gomes P. ↑,
- 59', Dabo A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 59', Miguel G. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 62', Gomes P. 🟥,
- 66', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
- 69', Kraev A. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 70', Larrazabal G. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 78', Livolant J. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 78', Fonte J. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 80', Reisinho M. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 82', Agra S. 🟨,
- 88', Moreira N. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Bozenik R. ⚽, Onyemaechi B. (A),
Chances of winning
Boavista
24.2% | Draw
30.6% | Casa Pia
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Boavista - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(3.33) |
3.1 ↓
(3.13) |
2.1 ↓
(2.26) |
5.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boavista - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(43 of 52 users predict this - 82.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.41% – 92.97%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 7).
- Boavista is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Casa Pia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Casa Pia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Moraes Pires L. H.
(Knee Injury)
Perez S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Moreira N.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.4:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Casa Pia?
Boavista has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Boavista?
Casa Pia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Casa Pia were as follows:
10.08.2024
Casa Pia
-
Boavista
0:1
05.02.2024
Casa Pia
-
Boavista
0:0
27.08.2023
Boavista
-
Casa Pia
1:1
13.02.2023
Boavista
-
Casa Pia
0:0
Latest results of Boavista
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
