Result
1:0
09/02/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (310/406) | 69% (209/301) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 53% (62/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (6/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Fonte J. 🟨,
- 23', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
- 29', Lima R. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Cassiano ⚽, Larrazabal G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Keliano M. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 46', Chico Banza ↓, Leo Cordeiro ↑,
- 68', Bucca L. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
- 73', Miguel Sousa ↓, Kraev A. ↑,
- 73', Cassiano ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 77', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
- 78', Larrazabal G. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 78', Moreira N. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 78', Goulart J. 🟨,
- 85', Amine ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
- 85', Lima R. ↓, Kikas ↑,
- 89', Brito R. ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
- 90', Moreira P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Drame I. 🟨,
- 90+6', Pereira H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
49.6% | Draw
28.7% | Estrela da Amadora
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.83) |
3.27 ↓
(3.46) |
4.35 ↓
(4.54) |
6.3%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Estrela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Estrela da Amadora?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Casa Pia?
Estrela da Amadora has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
31.08.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Casa Pia
0:1
08.03.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Casa Pia
3:1
08.10.2023
Casa Pia
-
Estrela da Amadora
0:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
