Result
3:5
01/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 10
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (298/370) | 78% (237/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 3.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (298/370) | 78% (237/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (52/94) | 55% (33/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/34) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.64 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 34', 1 - 0, Cassiano ⚽, Nsona K. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Kikas ⚽, Marcus A. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Cabral S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 48', 2 - 2, Mohamed I. ⚽,
- 53', Otavio 🟨,
- 55', Meireles J. ↓, Jovane ↑,
- 55', Otavio ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
- 61', Sequeira P. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 3, Cabral S. (Pen),
- 67', 2 - 4, Moreira P. ⚽, Kikas (A),
- 71', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 73', Larrazabal G. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
- 73', Kaique Rocha ↓, Severina X. ↑,
- 74', Moreira P. 🟨,
- 75', Fonte J. 🟨,
- 78', Mohamed I. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 79', Nhaga R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 5, Cabral S. ⚽,
- 85', 3 - 5, Fonte J. ⚽,
- 89', Encada J. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
- 89', Marcus A. ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 90+1', Fonte J. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 90+6', Sola A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
44% | Draw
29.7% | Estrela da Amadora
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.99) |
3.23 ↓
(3.4) |
3.59 ↓
(3.61) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 3.
- Casa Pia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Estrela is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Casa Pia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Prieto K.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Estrela: Semeu
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Conte A.
(Inactive)
Mandic I.
(Inactive)
Sequeira P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Alisson Souza
(Inactive)
Jovane
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Estrela da Amadora?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Casa Pia?
Estrela da Amadora has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
09.02.2025
Casa Pia
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:0
31.08.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Casa Pia
0:1
08.03.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Casa Pia
3:1
08.10.2023
Casa Pia
-
Estrela da Amadora
0:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
