Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/360) | 77% (240/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (297/360) | 77% (240/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (27/43) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (89/129) | 54% (43/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Tchamba D. 🟨,
- 26', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 30', Mohamed I. 🟨,
- 30', Kraev A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Elisor S. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
- 42', Pedro Bondo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Larrazabal G. ⚽, Livolant J. (A),
- 55', Pedro Bondo ↓, Rafa Soares ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Elisor S. ⚽,
- 75', Larrazabal G. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 75', Mohamed I. ↓, Na Nhaga R. S. ↑,
- 75', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
- 77', Aranda O. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 81', Na Nhaga R. S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
- 90+1', Kraev A. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 90+1', Fonte J. ↓, Bandeira D. ↑,
- 90+2', De Amorim M. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
- 90+3', Bandeira D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
49.9% | Draw
26.9% | Casa Pia
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Famalicão - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.98) |
3.5 ↑
(3.43) |
4.04 ↑
(3.83) |
5.9%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 50%). Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Famalicão is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Casa Pia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Famalicão is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: De Haas J.
(Yellow Cards)
Sejk V.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Casa Pia?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Famalicão?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Casa Pia were as follows:
05.01.2025
Casa Pia
-
Famalicão
1:1
17.05.2024
Famalicão
-
Casa Pia
1:2
13.01.2024
Casa Pia
-
Famalicão
0:2
13.03.2023
Famalicão
-
Casa Pia
1:0
18.09.2022
Casa Pia
-
Famalicão
1:0
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
