Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 4
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (351/457) | 73% (201/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (351/457) | 73% (201/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (66/124) | 50% (33/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Paulinho Boia ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Ramirez J. ⚽, Jose Gomes (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Osundina K. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
- 46', Goulart J. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 46', Mohamed I. ↓, Nhaga R. ↑,
- 50', Liziero 🟨,
- 58', Nhaga R. 🟨,
- 62', Lucas Franca 🟨,
- 67', Witi ↓, Watts ↑,
- 67', Liziero ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 73', Larrazabal G. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
- 73', Svensson M. ↓, Cassiano ↑,
- 82', Labidi C. ↓, Ulisses ↑,
- 88', Ramirez J. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
- 88', Paulinho Boia ↓, Nourani M. ↑,
- 90', Ulisses 🟨,
- 90+6', Geraldes A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
41.1% | Draw
30.3% | Nacional
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Casa Pia - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.12) |
3.09 ↓
(3.1) |
3.26 ↑
(3.25) |
6.6%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Nacional?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2.
- Nacional is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Casa Pia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Casa Pia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Nsona K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Deivison
(Inactive)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
Pablo Ruan
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Oukili Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Nourani M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Nacional?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Casa Pia?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Nacional were as follows:
25.10.2024
Casa Pia
-
Nacional
1:0
25.11.2023
Nacional
-
Casa Pia
1:0
28.09.2023
Casa Pia
-
Nacional
2:1
09.02.2023
Casa Pia
-
Nacional
2:5
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Arouca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Estrela | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
