Result
16/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (219/292) | 79% (269/339) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 58% (56/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 15% (3/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Daniel Penha ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Osundina K. ↓, Livolant J. ↑,
- 46', Brito R. ↓, Kraev A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Larrazabal G. ⚽, Tchamba D. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Paulinho Boia ⚽,
- 63', Isaac ↓, Joel ↑,
- 63', Dudu ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 69', Miguel Sousa ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 69', Daniel Penha ↓, Matheus Dias ↑,
- 70', Paulinho Boia ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Joel ⚽,
- 84', Tchamba D. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
- 89', Kluivert R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Esteves L. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 90+5', Appiah A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional
40.5% | Draw
28.6% | Casa Pia
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Nacional - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.41) |
3.29 ↑
(3.29) |
3.04 ↑
(2.98) |
6%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Jose Gomes
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Cassiano
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Casa Pia?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Nacional?
Casa Pia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Casa Pia were as follows:
25.10.2024
Casa Pia
-
Nacional
1:0
25.11.2023
Nacional
-
Casa Pia
1:0
28.09.2023
Casa Pia
-
Nacional
2:1
09.02.2023
Casa Pia
-
Nacional
2:5
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
