Porto vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
24/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 3
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
bulgariaBulgariaRing
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungarySport 1
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.22
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
90% (513/572)77% (237/309)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.22
xG on target (xGOT)
3.850.00
Total shots
207
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
162
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
344
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
811
Passes
90% (513/572)77% (237/309)
Long passes
67% (16/24)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
75% (94/125)54% (25/46)
Crosses
31% (5/16)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.23
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
118
Tackles
40% (4/10)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4250
Clearances
820
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.003.85
Goals prevented
0.00-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Sainz B. , Froholdt V. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, William Gomes , Costa A. (A),
  • 28', William Gomes 🟨,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Perez N. , Costa A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zaidu , Moura F. ,
  • 46', Cassiano , Svensson M. ,
  • 46', Benaissa-Yahia F. , Geraldes A. ,
  • 51', Froholdt V. 🟨,
  • 58', Osundina K. , Morais T. ,
  • 58', Froholdt V. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 58', William Gomes , Mora R. ,
  • 65', Bednarek J. 🟨,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Sainz B. ,
  • 74', Bednarek J. , Prpic D. ,
  • 74', Costa A. , Pedro J. ,
  • 75', Nhaga R. , Perez S. ,
  • 75', Livolant J. , Miguel Sousa ,
  • 90', Perez S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Porto
77.3%
Draw
15.6%
Casa Pia
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.1% 15.4% 6.5%

Porto - Casa Pia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.22
(1.21)
6.04
(6.13)
13.37
(14.67)
6.1%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Porto - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 70.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 5.
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Samu (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Blanco R. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Porto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Casa Pia were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1
    02.12.2024 Porto - Casa Pia 2:0
    21.04.2024 Casa Pia - Porto 1:2
    09.12.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 3:1
    14.05.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 2:1
    Latest results of Porto
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    11.08.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0
    03.08.2025 Porto - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    27.07.2025 Porto - Twente 2:1
    23.06.2025 Porto - Al Ahly Cairo 4:4
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    15.08.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 0:2
    08.08.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 0:2
    16.05.2025 Famalicão - Casa Pia 2:1
    10.05.2025 Casa Pia - Braga 2:1
    04.05.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2