Casa Pia vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Porto
Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 29
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3, SportKlub 2
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.81
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
84% (357/427)87% (418/483)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.08
Total shots
510
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
922
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
84% (357/427)87% (418/483)
Long passes
62% (39/63)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)74% (83/112)
Crosses
29% (4/14)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.56
Fouls
1216
Tackles
73% (11/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4839
Clearances Total
1918
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.080.41
Goals prevented
0.080.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Mora R. , Moura F. (A),
  • 26', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Fonte J. 🟨,
  • 64', Miguel Sousa , Pereira H. ,
  • 67', Gul D. , Samu ,
  • 67', Pedro J. 🟨,
  • 75', Pepê , Borges G. ,
  • 75', Joao Mario , Fernandes M. ,
  • 77', Livolant J. , Caue ,
  • 77', Fonte J. , Geraldes A. ,
  • 77', Goulart J. , Benaissa-Yahia F. ,
  • 79', Fernandes M. 🟨,
  • 85', Mora R. , Otavio ,
  • 90+3', Larrazabal G. , Tiago Dias ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
17%
Draw
24.8%
Porto
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 25.1% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9% 24.1% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Casa Pia - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.52
    (5.64)
    3.8
    (3.73)
    1.61
    (1.61)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Porto will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 38.5%81.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
    • Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Porto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Porto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Brito R. (Yellow Cards) Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Muscle Injury) Perez N. (Yellow Cards) Sousa V. (Calf Injury) William Gomes (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D. (Inactive)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Porto were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Porto - Casa Pia 2:0
    21.04.2024 Casa Pia - Porto 1:2
    09.12.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 3:1
    14.05.2023 Porto - Casa Pia 2:1
    07.01.2023 Casa Pia - Porto 0:0
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    07.04.2025 Farense - Casa Pia 0:0
    29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1
    09.03.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    22.02.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:0
    Latest results of Porto
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2
    15.03.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2