Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sport TV Africa |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Lithuania | Sport 1 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | TV Start |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 2 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.62 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (357/427) | 87% (418/483) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.62 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.41 | 1.08 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 22 |
Through passes |
---|
100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
84% (357/427) | 87% (418/483) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (39/63) | 49% (29/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (58/93) | 74% (83/112) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (4/14) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.36 | 0.56 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 39 |
Clearances Total |
---|
19 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.08 | 0.41 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.08 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
- 26', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Fonte J. 🟨,
- 64', Miguel Sousa ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 67', Gul D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 67', Pedro J. 🟨,
- 75', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 75', Joao Mario ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 77', Livolant J. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 77', Fonte J. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 77', Goulart J. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 79', Fernandes M. 🟨,
- 85', Mora R. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 90+3', Larrazabal G. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia 17% | Draw 24.8% | Porto 58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Casa Pia - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.52 ↓ (5.64) |
3.8 ↑ (3.73) |
1.61 ↑ (1.61) |
6.5% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Porto?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Porto will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
- Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Porto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Porto is a favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Brito R.
(Yellow Cards)
Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez N.
(Yellow Cards)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
William Gomes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.5:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Porto?
Casa Pia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Casa Pia?
Porto has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Porto were as follows:
02.12.2024
Porto
-
Casa Pia
2:0
21.04.2024
Casa Pia
-
Porto
1:2
09.12.2023
Porto
-
Casa Pia
3:1
14.05.2023
Porto
-
Casa Pia
2:1
07.01.2023
Casa Pia
-
Porto
0:0
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2