Result
03/05/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
41.2% | Draw
30.1% | Tondela
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Casa Pia - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.47) |
3.13 ↓
(3.31) |
3.3 ↑
(3.1) |
5.6%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Tondela?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Casa Pia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Casa Pia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Injury)
Fonte J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Severina X.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tondela: Huarte X.
(Inactive)
Tavares H.
(Injury)
Vita R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Tondela?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Casa Pia?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Tondela were as follows:
21.12.2025
Tondela
-
Casa Pia
1:2
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
