Cartagena vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
chileChileDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
worldWorldDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.99
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
522
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
65% (167/256)86% (547/633)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.851.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.592.45
Total shots
522
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
416
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
962
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
65% (167/256)86% (547/633)
Long passes
37% (29/79)56% (15/27)
Passes in final third
54% (45/84)80% (233/293)
Crosses
11% (1/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.252.21
Fouls
1217
Tackles
46% (13/28)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6755
Clearances Total
4526
Interceptions
1810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.451.59
Goals prevented
0.45-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Luna D. , El Jebari S. (A),
  • 11', Calatrava A. 🟨,
  • 36', Nacho 🟨,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, El Jebari S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Zarfino G. , de Miguel J. ,
  • 46', Gil O. , Cipenga B. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. ,
  • 54', Nacho , Vukcevic A. ,
  • 54', Luna D. , Mini ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, van den Belt T. ,
  • 65', El Jebari S. , Nunez R. ,
  • 65', Ortuno A. , Millan A. ,
  • 74', Suero I. , Jojic M. ,
  • 78', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 83', Camara O. , Markanich N. ,
  • 84', Andy , Musto D. ,
  • 87', Calatrava A. , Lottin A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mshm8wph

Chances of winning


Cartagena
20.1%
Draw
25.3%
Castellón
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 24.5% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 23.5% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Castellón aligns with the current prediction.
  • Cartagena - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.65
    (5.1)
    3.69
    (3.83)
    1.73
    (1.65)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cartagena - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cartagena: 8%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).
    • Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Castellón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Castellón is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cartagena: Aguirregabiria M. (Yellow Cards) Moreno J. (Injury) Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Valles G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Castellón were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Castellón - Cartagena 4:1
    Latest results of Cartagena
    15.03.2025 Cartagena - Burgos 0:1
    09.03.2025 Levante - Cartagena 3:0
    28.02.2025 Cartagena - Eibar 0:2
    23.02.2025 Elche - Cartagena 2:1
    Latest results of Castellón
    23.03.2025 Levante - Castellón 3:2
    08.03.2025 Elche - Castellón 3:1
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0
    15.02.2025 Castellón - Eibar 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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