Granada vs Castellón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada).

: LaLiga2 - Round 41
Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.54	0.30
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
26	4
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Passes
85% (332/392)	79% (254/323)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54	0.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.45	0.48
Total shots
26	4
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked Shots
11	1
Shots inside the Box
19	2
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Touches in opposition box
28	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
85% (332/392)	79% (254/323)
Long passes
50% (26/52)	41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
74% (82/111)	59% (47/80)
Crosses
44% (8/18)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.48
Throw-ins
22	18
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
69% (11/16)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
49	50
Clearances
14	18
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.48	2.45
Goals prevented
-0.52	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽, Rebbach A. (A),
33', Lottin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zarfino G. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
46', Escobar J. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
59', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
61', Chirino D. 🟥,
64', Markanich N. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Cipenga B. ⚽, Lottin A. (A),
72', Pastor G. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
73', Rebbach A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
73', Sanchez R. ↓,
74', Sanchez R. 🟨,
75', Neva C. ↓, Brau M. ↑,
83', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
83', Trigueros M. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, Weissman S. (A),
90+3', Brau M. 🟨,
90+7', Lama M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yj8889ab

Chances of winning

Granada
63.3%

Draw
20.4%

Castellón
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.1%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Granada - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	4.59 ↑ (4.46)	5.79 ↓ (5.88)	5.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Granada - Castellón?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 87.4% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Granada will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 16).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Granada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Granada is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Jimenez A. (Yellow Cards) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Granada: Baston B. (Inactive) Reinier (Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Granada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Castellón?

Granada has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Granada?

Castellón has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Castellón were as follows:

22.10.2024 Castellón - Granada 2:3

Latest results of Granada

17.05.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Granada 2:3 ✺

12.05.2025 Granada - Eibar 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Málaga - Granada 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Granada - Elche 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Cartagena - Granada 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

18.05.2025 Castellón - Eldense 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Mirandés - Castellón 3:2 ✺

05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Castellón - Almería 4:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Granada - Castellón?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 4, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+