Granada vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada).

LaLiga2 - Round 21
Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.85	0.53
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
6	6
Passes
76% (257/336)	80% (313/391)
Expected goals (xG)
0.85	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.76	1.04
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked shots
3	4
Shots inside the box
4	4
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
10	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
14	11
Passes
76% (257/336)	80% (313/391)
Long passes
48% (30/62)	36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
57% (53/93)	72% (88/122)
Crosses
8% (2/24)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.22	0.66
Throw ins
30	24
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
43% (10/23)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
56	43
Clearances
11	32
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.04	0.76
Goals prevented
0.04	0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Rodelas S. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
65', Santiago P. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
65', Camara O. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
68', Aleman P. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
76', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
76', Mabil A. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
84', Pascual J. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
85', Sola A. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
90', Tincho ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Granada
32.2%

Draw
28.8%

Castellón
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Granada - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.83)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.38 ↓ (2.49)	7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Granada - Castellón?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 39.2% – 89.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Granada (votes: 2 - 50%). Castellón (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Granada (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Granada (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Granada (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Granada (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Castellón (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Granada has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Castellón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Granada: Alcaraz R. (Yellow Cards) Hongla M. (Injury) Zidane L. (International duty)
There will not play in Castellón: Alcazar L. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Granada: Casadesus P. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Granada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Granada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Castellón?

Granada has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Granada?

Castellón has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Granada - Castellón were as follows:

25.05.2025 Granada - Castellón 2:1

22.10.2024 Castellón - Granada 2:3

Latest results of Granada

06.01.2026 Granada - Rayo Vallecano 1:3 ✺

03.01.2026 Almería - Granada 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Granada - Albacete Balompié 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Granada 1:0 ✺

07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

03.01.2026 Castellón - Huesca 4:1 ✺

21.12.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 2:0 ✺

15.12.2025 Castellón - Mirandés 3:1 ✺

07.12.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Castellón 1:3 ✺

30.11.2025 Castellón - Las Palmas 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation