Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 12
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (291/362) | 77% (274/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (291/362) | 77% (274/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (71/101) | 51% (36/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Brignani F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Rafita 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ronaldo ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 46', Mellot J. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Jauregi E. (Pen),
- 62', Ruiz S. 🟨,
- 64', Barri ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 64', Ruiz S. ↓, Sienra A. ↑,
- 64', Santiago P. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
- 66', Montero J. 🟨,
- 68', Larrubia D. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 69', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
- 76', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
- 76', Brignani F. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 82', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
- 82', Lorenzo D. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
- 87', Doue M. 🟨,
- 88', Sienra A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Doue M. ⚽, Alcazar (A),
- 90+10', Doue M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yf5mrjve
Chances of winning
Castellón
55.8% | Draw
23.9% | Málaga
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Castellón - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.7) |
3.9 ↓
(4.01) |
4.58 ↑
(4.55) |
6.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3.
- Castellón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Castellón is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D.
(Red Card)
Diarra M.
(Knee Injury)
Luismi
(Face Injury)
Nino A.
(Ankle Injury)
Pastor A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Málaga?
Castellón has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Castellón?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Málaga were as follows:
27.04.2025
Málaga
-
Castellón
1:0
01.12.2024
Castellón
-
Málaga
2:0
21.01.2024
Málaga
-
Castellón
0:1
26.08.2023
Castellón
-
Málaga
2:1
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Castellon | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42:25 | 17 | 45 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Almeria | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Malaga | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Gijon | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Cadiz CF | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Albacete | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Leganes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Eibar | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Granada CF | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 | Andorra | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Huesca | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 22:38 | -16 | 23 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
