Castellón vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana).

LaLiga2 - Round 12
Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.25
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
19	8
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
80% (291/362)	77% (274/357)
Yellow Cards
6	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.97	0.72
Total shots
19	8
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
12	2
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
26	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
80% (291/362)	77% (274/357)
Long passes
32% (11/34)	35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
70% (71/101)	51% (36/70)
Crosses
32% (7/22)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.22
Throw-ins
16	23
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
69% (9/13)	58% (14/24)
Duels won
50	61
Clearances
16	26
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.72	1.97
Goals prevented
-0.28	-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Brignani F. 🟨,
45+1', Rafita 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ronaldo ↓, Doue M. ↑,
46', Mellot J. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Jauregi E. (Pen),
62', Ruiz S. 🟨,
64', Barri ↓, Suero I. ↑,
64', Ruiz S. ↓, Sienra A. ↑,
64', Santiago P. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
66', Montero J. 🟨,
68', Larrubia D. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
69', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
76', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
76', Brignani F. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
82', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
82', Lorenzo D. ↓, Galilea E. ↑,
87', Doue M. 🟨,
88', Sienra A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
90+9', 2 - 1, Doue M. ⚽, Alcazar (A),
90+10', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yf5mrjve

Chances of winning

Castellón
55.8%

Draw
23.9%

Málaga
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Castellón - Málaga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.9 ↓ (4.01)	4.58 ↑ (4.55)	6.7% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Castellón - Málaga?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Málaga will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3.
Castellón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Málaga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Castellón is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Red Card) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Málaga?

Castellón has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Castellón?

Málaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Málaga were as follows:

27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0

01.12.2024 Castellón - Málaga 2:0

21.01.2024 Málaga - Castellón 0:1

26.08.2023 Castellón - Málaga 2:1

Latest results of Castellón

30.10.2025 Antoniano - Castellón 1:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Castellón - Albacete Balompié 0:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Eibar - Castellón 0:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Málaga

30.10.2025 Estepona - Málaga 1:3 ✺

26.10.2025 Málaga - FC Andorra 4:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Leganés - Málaga 2:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Málaga - Deportivo La Coruña 3:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

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