Result
1:3
10/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato Nacional - Round 14
Chances of winning
Castêlo da Maia
62.9% | Gondomar
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castêlo da Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castêlo da Maia's form might have worsened.Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gondomar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castêlo da Maia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Castêlo da Maia - Gondomar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.34) |
|
2.48 ↓
(2.85) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 4.
- Castêlo da Maia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gondomar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Castêlo da Maia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Castêlo da Maia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Castêlo da Maia is the team to beat.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Castêlo da Maia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castêlo da Maia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Castêlo da Maia won against Gondomar?
Castêlo da Maia has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gondomar won against Castêlo da Maia?
Gondomar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castêlo da Maia - Gondomar were as follows:
02.11.2025
Gondomar
-
Castêlo da Maia
3:2
05.04.2025
Gondomar
-
Castêlo da Maia
0:3
29.03.2025
Castêlo da Maia
-
Gondomar
3:0
05.01.2025
Gondomar
-
Castêlo da Maia
0:3
19.10.2024
Castêlo da Maia
-
Gondomar
3:0
Latest results of Castêlo da Maia
Latest results of Gondomar
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 20 | 19 | 1 | 59:9 | 57 |
| 2 | Benfica | 20 | 18 | 2 | 55:8 | 54 |
| 3 | Leixoes SC | 20 | 13 | 7 | 44:30 | 38 |
| 4 | Academica de Espinho | 19 | 13 | 6 | 41:33 | 33 |
| 5 | Mamede | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Vitoria | 20 | 11 | 9 | 39:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Sporting de Espinho | 20 | 10 | 10 | 37:38 | 31 |
| 8 | Gondomar | 20 | 8 | 12 | 33:45 | 24 |
| 9 | Madalena | 20 | 5 | 15 | 28:48 | 19 |
| 10 | Castelo Maia GC | 20 | 5 | 15 | 29:50 | 18 |
| 11 | Clube K | 20 | 4 | 16 | 20:52 | 12 |
| 12 | Santo Tirso | 20 | 2 | 18 | 11:54 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Campeonato Nacional (Losers stage: )
