Result
33:3
31/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (11 - 3)
- 8', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
- 25', Dumora J. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Hulleu N. (Try),
- 35', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 0)
- 42', Baget R. (Try),
- 52', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 54', Capilla E. 🟨,
- 68', Cope B. (Try),
- 68', Ducat G. 🟨,
- 68', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Hulleu N. (Try),
- 74', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Castres
70.3% | Draw
3.8% | Aviron Bayonnais
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castres that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Castres - Aviron Bayonnais Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.4) |
24.33 ↑
(19.67) |
3.53 ↑
(3.13) |
8.3%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 53.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Bayonne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Castres is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Castres will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Castres won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 441:341. (average 25.9:20.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 292:122. (average 36.5:15.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Aviron Bayonnais?
Castres has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aviron Bayonnais won against Castres?
Aviron Bayonnais has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Aviron Bayonnais were as follows:
28.12.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Castres
33:12
08.06.2024
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Castres
17:28
02.09.2023
Castres
-
Aviron Bayonnais
37:0
25.02.2023
Aviron Bayonnais
-
Castres
41:10
15.10.2022
Castres
-
Aviron Bayonnais
39:22
Latest results of Castres
Latest results of Aviron Bayonnais
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montauban | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | USA Perpignan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stade Toulousain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Racing 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Stade Rochelais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bordeaux Begles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Section Paloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
