Velarde vs Castro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Velarde - Castro
Result
1:0
23/03/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Velarde
24.7%
Draw
29.9%
Castro
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 30.5% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 29.9% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Velarde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Velarde - Castro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.08)
    3.03
    (2.95)
    1.99
    (2.23)
    10.6%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Velarde is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Castro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Castro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Velarde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Velarde - Castro were as follows:
    05.11.2023 Castro - Velarde 2:1
    Latest results of Velarde
    09.03.2024 Velarde - Laredo 0:1
    02.03.2024 Velarde - Sámano 1:1
    25.02.2024 Guarnizo - Velarde 2:2
    17.02.2024 Velarde - Cartes 0:2
    Latest results of Castro
    17.03.2024 Castro - Sámano 1:0
    09.03.2024 Guarnizo - Castro 0:0
    03.03.2024 Castro - Cartes 2:2
    25.02.2024 Tropezón - Castro 2:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2