Result
1:0
23/03/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Velarde
24.7% | Draw
29.9% | Castro
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velarde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Velarde - Castro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.08) |
3.03 ↑
(2.95) |
1.99 ↓
(2.23) |
10.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Velarde is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Castro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Castro will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Velarde won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Velarde won against Castro?
Velarde has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Velarde?
Castro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Velarde - Castro were as follows:
05.11.2023
Castro
-
Velarde
2:1
Latest results of Velarde
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 63:10 | 53 | 63 |
| 2 | Laredo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:20 | 29 | 56 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 40:21 | 19 | 51 |
| 4 | Atletico Albericia | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Torina | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Cayon | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
| 10 | Bezana | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:31 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Castro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 38:37 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Revilla | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 15 | Selaya | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 16 | Montanas | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:71 | -44 | 18 |
| 17 | Noja | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16:47 | -31 | 17 |
| 18 | CD Colindres | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 16:37 | -21 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
