Castuera vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Castuera - Llerenense
Result
3:1
21/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Martinez F. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Cordero A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Bizcocho F. ,

Chances of winning


Castuera
15.2%
Draw
23.7%
Llerenense
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.8% 24.2% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 24.1% 60.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Castuera - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.03
    (5.73)
    3.87
    (3.75)
    1.5
    (1.51)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • Castuera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Llerenense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Castuera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Castuera
    16.03.2025 Olivenza - Castuera 2:1
    09.03.2025 Castuera - Jerez 4:2
    02.03.2025 Santa Amalia - Castuera 4:1
    09.02.2025 Castuera - Villafranca 1:2
    02.02.2025 Moralo - Castuera 2:1
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.03.2025 Llerenense - Trujillo 3:0
    09.03.2025 Pueblonuevo - Llerenense 1:1
    09.02.2025 Arroyo - Llerenense 1:5
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2