Pueblonuevo vs Castuera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Pueblonuevo - Castuera
Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Santos F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Chavero A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Canero A. ,

Chances of winning


Pueblonuevo
52%
Draw
25.4%
Castuera
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 27.3% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 26.2% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pueblonuevo's performance.
  • Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Pueblonuevo - Castuera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.99)
    3.58
    (3.33)
    4.01
    (3.36)
    10%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Pueblonuevo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Castuera is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Castuera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Pueblonuevo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Castuera were as follows:
    04.02.2024 Castuera - Pueblonuevo 3:2
    Latest results of Pueblonuevo
    20.04.2025 Trujillo - Pueblonuevo 2:3
    23.03.2025 Pueblonuevo - Jaraíz 1:1
    16.03.2025 Arroyo - Pueblonuevo 1:2
    Latest results of Castuera
    11.04.2025 CD Extremadura - Castuera 2:0
    30.03.2025 Arroyo - Castuera 2:2
    21.03.2025 Castuera - Llerenense 3:1
    16.03.2025 Olivenza - Castuera 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2