Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Santos F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 1, Chavero A. ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 2, Canero A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pueblonuevo 52% | Draw 25.4% | Castuera 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pueblonuevo's performance.Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Pueblonuevo - Castuera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.99) |
3.58 ↑ (3.33) |
4.01 ↑ (3.36) |
10% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- Pueblonuevo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Castuera is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castuera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Pueblonuevo will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
How many head-to-head matches has Pueblonuevo won against Castuera?
Pueblonuevo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castuera won against Pueblonuevo?
Castuera has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Castuera were as follows:
04.02.2024
Castuera
-
Pueblonuevo
3:2
Latest results of Pueblonuevo
Latest results of Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Jaraiz | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Villanovense | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Puebla | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Azuaga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Santa Amalia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Moralo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Montijo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Gevora | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | CD Badajoz | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Diocesano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Cabeza del Buey | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Jerez CF | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Llerenense | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation