Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Santos F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 1, Chavero A. ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 2, Canero A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pueblonuevo 52% | Draw 25.4% | Castuera 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pueblonuevo's performance.Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Pueblonuevo - Castuera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.99) |
3.58 ↑ (3.33) |
4.01 ↑ (3.36) |
10% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- Pueblonuevo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Castuera is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castuera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Pueblonuevo will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
How many head-to-head matches has Pueblonuevo won against Castuera?
Pueblonuevo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castuera won against Pueblonuevo?
Castuera has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pueblonuevo - Castuera were as follows:
04.02.2024
Castuera
-
Pueblonuevo
3:2
Latest results of Pueblonuevo
Latest results of Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation