Result
16/03/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (421/477) | 83% (315/381) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 74% (56/76) | 66% (77/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 12% (2/17) |
| Tackles |
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| 62% (8/13) | 78% (7/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽, Situm M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Pontisso S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Pompetti M. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 48', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
- 53', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 0, Bonini F. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 57', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 59', Biasci T. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 64', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 68', Fumagalli T. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
- 68', Kouan C. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Coulibaly M. ⚽, Bonini F. (A),
- 81', Bonini F. ↓, Matias Antonini ↑,
- 81', Situm M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
- 84', Garritano L. ↓, Charlys ↑,
- 84', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
46% | Draw
29.8% | Nuova Cosenza
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.07) |
3.16 ↓
(3.27) |
3.84 ↑
(3.66) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Catanzaro will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Nuova Cosenza?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Catanzaro?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
26.12.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Catanzaro
1:1
03.03.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Catanzaro
0:2
26.11.2023
Catanzaro
-
Nuova Cosenza
2:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
