Result
16/03/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (421/477) | 83% (315/381) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 74% (56/76) | 66% (77/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 12% (2/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 78% (7/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽, Situm M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Pontisso S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Pompetti M. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 48', D'Orazio T. 🟨,
- 53', D'Orazio T. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 0, Bonini F. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 57', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 59', Biasci T. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 64', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 68', Fumagalli T. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
- 68', Kouan C. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 0, Coulibaly M. ⚽, Bonini F. (A),
- 81', Bonini F. ↓, Matias Antonini ↑,
- 81', Situm M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
- 84', Garritano L. ↓, Charlys ↑,
- 84', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Cruz J. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
46% | Draw
29.8% | Nuova Cosenza
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.07) |
3.16 ↓
(3.27) |
3.84 ↑
(3.66) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Catanzaro will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Nuova Cosenza?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Catanzaro?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
26.12.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Catanzaro
1:1
03.03.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Catanzaro
0:2
26.11.2023
Catanzaro
-
Nuova Cosenza
2:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
