Result
0:2
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (470/513) | 85% (277/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (470/513) | 85% (277/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (107/131) | 54% (30/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 57', Lauriente A. 🟨,
- 59', Obiang P. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
- 64', Pontisso S. 🟨,
- 66', Compagnon M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
- 67', Pontisso S. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 72', Skjellerup L. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
- 72', Lauriente A. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
- 72', Ghion A. ↓, Boloca D. ↑,
- 78', Biasci T. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 84', Berardi D. 🟨,
- 86', Berardi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 90', Ilie R. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 90', Quagliata G. ↓, Matias Antonini ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Bonini F. ⚽, Petriccione J. (A),
Chances of winning
Sassuolo
46.2% | Draw
27.2% | Catanzaro
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sassuolo's form might have worsened.Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanzaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sassuolo - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.63) |
3.48 ↓
(4) |
3.5 ↓
(4.75) |
5.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sassuolo - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
Sassuolo will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sassuolo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Sassuolo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie A
- Sassuolo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Catanzaro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Sassuolo has had a series of away games.
- Sassuolo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sassuolo: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Thorstvedt K.
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Iemmello P.
(Yellow Cards)
Pompetti M.
(Red Card)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sassuolo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Catanzaro?
Sassuolo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Sassuolo?
Catanzaro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sassuolo - Catanzaro were as follows:
18.08.2024
Catanzaro
-
Sassuolo
1:1
Latest results of Sassuolo
Latest results of Catanzaro
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
