Result
3:1
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (384/440) | 89% (389/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (384/440) | 89% (389/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 59% (19/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (100/126) | 82% (104/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Liberali M. ⚽, Cassandro T. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 57', Vrioni G. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
- 57', Ciervo R. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Cerri A. ⚽,
- 65', Petriccione J. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 65', Alesi G. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 70', Corazza T. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 1, Piacentini M. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 76', Bastoni S. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
- 77', Pittarello F. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 77', Brighenti N. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 78', Cerri A. 🟨,
- 82', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 83', Liberali M. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
- 87', Nuamah P. 🟥,
- 87', Olivieri M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Shpendi C. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Berti T. ⚽,
- 90+6', Iemmello P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cesena
39.4% | Draw
27.4% | Catanzaro
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Cesena - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.19) |
3.43 ↑
(3.28) |
2.84 ↓
(3.18) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cesena - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Catanzaro (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent form of Cesena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Catanzaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M.
(Inactive)
Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Frabotta G.
(Inactive)
Magni V.
(Injury)
Mangraviti M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A.
(Injury)
Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Catanzaro?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Cesena?
Catanzaro has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Catanzaro were as follows:
27.12.2025
Catanzaro
-
Cesena
2:0
17.05.2025
Catanzaro
-
Cesena
1:0
01.02.2025
Catanzaro
-
Cesena
4:2
28.08.2024
Cesena
-
Catanzaro
2:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
