Caxias vs Ituano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
143
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Guilherme Dal Pian ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Guilherme Dal Pian , Tiaguinho ,
  • 61', Fernando Canesin 🟨,
  • 62', Eduardo Melo , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 62', Pedro Cuiaba , Yann Rolim ,
  • 65', Ramon 🟨,
  • 68', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
  • 74', Neto Berola , Walterson Silva ,
  • 74', Fernando Canesin , Thiago Moraes ,
  • 74', Osman , Vinicius Popo ,
  • 74', Tiaguinho 🟨,
  • 81', Douglas Skilo , Gabriel Lima ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Iago ,
  • 88', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
  • 89', Leo Passos , Grigor ,
  • 90', Tomas Bastos , Lorran ,
  • 90', Vinicius Guedes , Guilherme Mantuan ,
  • 90+1', Gustavo Nescau 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Guilherme Mantuan ,

Chances of winning


Caxias
49.9%
Draw
29.8%
Ituano
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 27.3% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 27.1% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Caxias - Ituano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.88)
    3.06
    (3.35)
    4.5
    (3.81)
    9.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 9).
    • In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ituano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Caxias will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Caxias
    14.06.2025 Botafogo PB - Caxias 1:2
    31.05.2025 Caxias - Londrina 4:2
    24.05.2025 Itabaiana - Caxias 2:1
    18.05.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    Latest results of Ituano
    14.06.2025 Ituano - São Bernardo 1:1
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    25.05.2025 Ituano - Floresta 0:0
    18.05.2025 Figueirense - Ituano 2:0
    12.05.2025 Ituano - Ponte Preta 0:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D