Result
2:1
29/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Guilherme Dal Pian ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Guilherme Dal Pian ↓, Tiaguinho ↑,
- 61', Fernando Canesin 🟨,
- 62', Eduardo Melo ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 62', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
- 65', Ramon 🟨,
- 68', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
- 74', Neto Berola ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
- 74', Fernando Canesin ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
- 74', Osman ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
- 74', Tiaguinho 🟨,
- 81', Douglas Skilo ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Iago ⚽,
- 88', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
- 89', Leo Passos ↓, Grigor ↑,
- 90', Tomas Bastos ↓, Lorran ↑,
- 90', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
- 90+1', Gustavo Nescau 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Guilherme Mantuan ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caxias
49.9% | Draw
29.8% | Ituano
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Caxias - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.88) |
3.06 ↓
(3.35) |
4.5 ↑
(3.81) |
9.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 9).
- In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ituano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Caxias will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Ituano?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Caxias?
Ituano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Ituano were as follows:
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
