Result
2:0
15/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Jose Amo 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Y. ⚽,
- 40', Perez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Canizo A. ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
- 57', Casado J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Unzueta I. ⚽,
- 61', Samuel ↓, Miki ↑,
- 61', Alvarez U. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
- 68', Pastrana V. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 68', Celorio N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 81', Balboa A. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 81', Unzueta I. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
- 85', Gallar A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugo
56.5% | Draw
26.2% | CD Guadalajara
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Lugo - CD Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.84) |
3.49 ↑
(3.19) |
5.21 ↑
(4.06) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Lugo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lugo is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against CD Guadalajara?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Lugo?
CD Guadalajara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
09.11.2025
CD Guadalajara
-
Lugo
1:1
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
