Result
2:0
15/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Jose Amo 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Y. ⚽,
- 40', Perez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Canizo A. ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
- 57', Casado J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Unzueta I. ⚽,
- 61', Samuel ↓, Miki ↑,
- 61', Alvarez U. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
- 65', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
- 68', Pastrana V. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 68', Celorio N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 81', Balboa A. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 81', Unzueta I. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
- 85', Gallar A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugo
56.5% | Draw
26.2% | CD Guadalajara
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Lugo - CD Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.84) |
3.49 ↑
(3.19) |
5.21 ↑
(4.06) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Lugo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lugo is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Lugo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against CD Guadalajara?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Guadalajara won against Lugo?
CD Guadalajara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - CD Guadalajara were as follows:
09.11.2025
CD Guadalajara
-
Lugo
1:1
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
