Result
0:4
27/11/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 8', 0 - 1, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 19', 0 - 2, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 3, Ramos O. ⚽,
- 41', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 4, Ramos O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diaz A. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 46', Alvarado ↓, Bermudez J. ↑,
- 63', Castillo I. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
- 63', Ramos O. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 73', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 73', Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↓, Orellana A. ↑,
- 73', Aceituno M. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 74', Chavez Y. ↓, Ordonez O. ↑,
- 80', Anderson I. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
- 87', Santos Y. 🟨,
- 89', Ordonez O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Choloma
11.2% | Draw
16.3% | CD Marathón
72.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choloma's form might have worsened.CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Marathón's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Marathón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Choloma - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.23 ↑
(5.33) |
5.64 ↑
(4.2) |
1.27 ↓
(1.46) |
8.5%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Choloma - CD Marathón?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Marathón (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Marathón (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CD Marathón will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Marathón is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares )
- Choloma has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marathón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Marathón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choloma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against CD Marathón?
Choloma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Choloma?
CD Marathón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - CD Marathón were as follows:
14.09.2025
CD Marathón
-
Choloma
1:0
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
