Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Flores D. ⚽,
- 30', Benguche J. 🟨,
- 42', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Aguilera J. 🟨,
- 56', Lavallen P. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 66', Benguche J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 66', Flores D. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
- 68', Messiniti N. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 68', Elvir S. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 68', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Figueroa H. ⚽,
- 79', Mulet A. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 79', Guity K. ↓, Bennett C. ↑,
- 80', Ramos O. ↓, Bodden K. ↑,
- 83', Sanchez C. ↓, Chirinos M. ↑,
- 90+1', Ramirez S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón 40.1% | Draw 30.4% | Olimpia Tegucigalpa 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)The chances for Olimpia Tegucigalpa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.15) |
2.99 ↓ (3.15) |
3.09 ↑ (3.05) |
10% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 1.
- Recent form of Marathón has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Olimpia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marathón might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against CD Marathón?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 10 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
07.01.2026
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
CD Marathón
1:0
04.01.2026
CD Marathón
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
2:2
23.11.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
CD Marathón
3:2
30.08.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
2:0
27.04.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
1:2
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )