Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        30/08/2025 at  21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Honduras | Deportes TV | 
|  North-central-america | Centro America TV | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 60% | 40% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Sacaza C. ⚽, 
- 38',  🟨, 
- 41',  🟨, 
- 42',  🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Maldonado A. ↓, Mulet A. ↑, 
- 47',  🟨, 
- 56', 2 - 0, Ramirez D. ⚽, 
- 62',  🟨, 
- 62',  🟨, 
- 62',  🟨, 
- 63',  🟨, 
- 69',  🟨, 
- 75', Queiroz F. ↓, Paguada D. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | CD Marathón 40.6%
 | Draw 30.2%
 | Olimpia Tegucigalpa 29.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.32 ↓ (2.65)
 | 3.11 ↓ (3.3)
 | 3.21 ↑ (2.4)
 | 6.5% (9.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 0.
- In recent matches, Marathón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
                    
                    
                        
                            CD Marathón has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against CD Marathón?
                    
                    
                        
                             Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.04.2025 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.02.2025 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.10.2024 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                04.08.2024 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                - 
                                CD Marathón 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.05.2024 
                                CD Marathón 
                                - 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of CD Marathón                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 | 
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 | 
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 | 
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 | 
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 | 
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 | 
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 | 
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 | 
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )