Fortaleza vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Ceará
Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 13
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.01
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
77% (307/400)65% (175/269)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.90
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
77% (307/400)65% (175/269)
Long passes
42% (28/66)37% (28/75)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)52% (45/86)
Crosses
17% (4/23)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.72
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
1214
Tackles
76% (13/17)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5339
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.900.00
Goals prevented
0.290.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
  • 29', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
  • 45', Gustavo Mancha , Diogo Barbosa ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ,
  • 63', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 63', Lucas Sasha , Marinho ,
  • 68', Pedro Henrique , Fernandinho ,
  • 68', Lucas Mugni , Lourenco ,
  • 80', Breno Lopes , Allanzinho ,
  • 80', Emmanuel Martinez , Calebe ,
  • 81', Galeano A. , Bruno Tubarao ,
  • 82', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 88', Fabiano 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernando Sobral , Richardson ,
  • 90+1', Fabiano , Ramos R. ,
  • 90+6', Pedro Raul 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
39.8%
Draw
31.3%
Ceará
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 30% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 30.3% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Fortaleza - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.13)
    3.03
    (3.15)
    3.26
    (3.7)
    5.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Ceará?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.
    • Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
    • Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Richard (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Ceará were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    08.02.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:2
    06.04.2024 Ceará - Fortaleza 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    09.07.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:1
    12.06.2025 Fortaleza - Santos 2:3
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    Latest results of Ceará
    09.07.2025 Sport Recife - Ceará 0:1
    07.06.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará 1:2
    04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2
    01.06.2025 Ceará - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet