Fortaleza vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Ceará
Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 13
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.01
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
77% (307/400)65% (175/269)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.552.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.90
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
77% (307/400)65% (175/269)
Long passes
42% (28/66)37% (28/75)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)52% (45/86)
Crosses
17% (4/23)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.72
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
1214
Tackles
76% (13/17)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5339
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.900.00
Goals prevented
0.290.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
  • 29', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
  • 45', Gustavo Mancha , Diogo Barbosa ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ,
  • 63', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 63', Lucas Sasha , Marinho ,
  • 68', Pedro Henrique , Fernandinho ,
  • 68', Lucas Mugni , Lourenco ,
  • 80', Breno Lopes , Allanzinho ,
  • 80', Emmanuel Martinez , Calebe ,
  • 81', Galeano A. , Bruno Tubarao ,
  • 82', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 88', Fabiano 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernando Sobral , Richardson ,
  • 90+1', Fabiano , Ramos R. ,
  • 90+6', Pedro Raul 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
39.8%
Draw
31.3%
Ceará
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 30% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 30.3% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Fortaleza - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.13)
    3.03
    (3.15)
    3.26
    (3.7)
    5.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Ceará?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.
    • Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
    • Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Moises (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Richard (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Ceará were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    08.02.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:2
    06.04.2024 Ceará - Fortaleza 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    09.07.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:1
    12.06.2025 Fortaleza - Santos 2:3
    01.06.2025 Flamengo - Fortaleza 5:0
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    Latest results of Ceará
    09.07.2025 Sport Recife - Ceará 0:1
    07.06.2025 Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará 1:2
    04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2
    01.06.2025 Ceará - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet