Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/400) | 65% (175/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/400) | 65% (175/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 37% (28/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/98) | 52% (45/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 29', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
- 45', Gustavo Mancha ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Britez E. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽,
- 63', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 63', Lucas Sasha ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 68', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 68', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 80', Breno Lopes ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 80', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 81', Galeano A. ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 82', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 88', Fabiano 🟨,
- 90+1', Fernando Sobral ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 90+1', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 90+6', Pedro Raul 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
39.8% | Draw
31.3% | Ceará
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Fortaleza - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.13) |
3.03 ↓
(3.15) |
3.26 ↓
(3.7) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Ceará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.
- Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
- Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Ceará?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Fortaleza?
Ceará has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Ceará were as follows:
22.03.2025
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
1:1
15.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:1
08.02.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
1:2
06.04.2024
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
2:1
30.03.2024
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
