Result
1:2 penalties
08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cearense - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 27', Britez E. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Luiz Otavio ⚽, Matheus Araujo (A),
- 44', Fernando 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodrigo ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 46', Luan Freitas ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Fuentes G. (A),
- 58', Melk ↓, Vina ↑,
- 58', Matheus Araujo ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 58', Pierre 🟨,
- 60', Pierre ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 63', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
- 65', Matheusinho ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 66', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 67', Vina 🟨,
- 68', Richard 🟨,
- 72', Alex Silva ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 72', Wendel ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 84', Luiz Fernando ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Vinicius Zanocelo (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Fernando (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Juan Alano (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Luiz Otavio (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Ramos R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Ceará
37.3% | Draw
32.8% | Fortaleza
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Ceará - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.57) |
2.78 ↓
(3.05) |
3.05 ↑
(2.67) |
9.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Fortaleza?
Ceará has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Ceará?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Fortaleza were as follows:
01.03.2026
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
1:1
08.02.2026
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
0:0
06.11.2025
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
1:1
13.07.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:1
22.03.2025
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Ferroviario | Fortaleza | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | Ceara | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Fortaleza | Ceara | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
3rd place| 2 | Ferroviario | Floresta EC | 1 : 0 |
