Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 2.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
77% (307/400) | 65% (175/269) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 2.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 1.90 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
77% (307/400) | 65% (175/269) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (28/66) | 37% (28/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (63/98) | 52% (45/86) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/23) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.38 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.90 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.29 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 29', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
- 45', Gustavo Mancha ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Britez E. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽,
- 63', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 63', Lucas Sasha ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 68', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 68', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 80', Breno Lopes ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 80', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Calebe ↑,
- 81', Galeano A. ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 82', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 88', Fabiano 🟨,
- 90+1', Fernando Sobral ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 90+1', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 90+6', Pedro Raul 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 39.8% | Draw 31.3% | Ceará 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Fortaleza - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.13) |
3.03 ↓ (3.15) |
3.26 ↓ (3.7) |
5.5% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Ceará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.
- Fortaleza has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ceará's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
- Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Ceará?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Fortaleza?
Ceará has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Ceará were as follows:
22.03.2025
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
1:1
15.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:1
08.02.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
1:2
06.04.2024
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
2:1
30.03.2024
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet