Ceará vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Ceará - Santos
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.50
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
76% (245/321)86% (376/435)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.201.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.461.18
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
22
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
76% (245/321)86% (376/435)
Long passes
47% (27/57)48% (15/31)
Passes in final third
66% (59/89)75% (113/151)
Crosses
20% (2/10)24% (8/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.07
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1616
Tackles
72% (13/18)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4560
Clearances
4535
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.182.46
Goals prevented
1.18-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Lucas Mugni , Pedro Raul (A),
  • 37', Lourenco 🟨,
  • 39', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rincon T. , Barreal A. ,
  • 55', Igor Vinicius 🟨,
  • 63', Fernandinho , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 63', Lucas Mugni , Vina ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique , Galeano A. (A),
  • 67', Escobar G. , Souza ,
  • 67', Igor Vinicius , Caballero G. ,
  • 72', Diego , Fernando Sobral ,
  • 72', Lourenco , Richardson ,
  • 76', Guilherme , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 82', Rollheiser B. , Thaciano ,
  • 86', Tiquinho Soares 🟨,
  • 90', Galeano A. , Paulo Baya ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Fernando Sobral , Pedro Henrique (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
42.7%
Draw
31.5%
Santos
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 29.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 30.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Ceará - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)
    3.17
    (3.17)
    3.99
    (3.36)
    0.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ceará - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Santos (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Ceará: Fernandinho (Inactive) Lucca (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo (Ankle Injury) Joao Basso (Injury) Neymar (Thigh Injury) Victor Hugo (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Santos were as follows:
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    22.10.2024 Santos - Ceará 1:0
    05.07.2024 Ceará - Santos 0:1
    10.09.2022 Ceará - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    02.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 1:0
    29.09.2025 São Paulo - Ceará 0:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    Latest results of Santos
    01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1
    21.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 1:0
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol291410550:302052
    5Bahia29147840:32849
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense281251135:35041
    8Vasco291161246:41539
    9Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    10Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    11Corinthians29991131:35-436
    12Gremio29991130:37-736
    13Ceara28981127:27035
    14Internacional29981235:42-735
    15Atletico-MG28891126:32-633
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria297101227:43-1631
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife282111521:44-2317

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