Result
0:0
12/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.79 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
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14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (398/483) | 77% (187/242) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.79 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.57 | 0.52 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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20 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 11 |
Passes |
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82% (398/483) | 77% (187/242) |
Long passes |
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46% (24/52) | 48% (21/44) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (86/129) | 64% (34/53) |
Crosses |
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26% (9/35) | 33% (6/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.95 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 21 |
Tackles |
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80% (8/10) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 46 |
Clearances |
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12 | 44 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.52 | 0.57 |
Goals prevented |
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0.52 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 64', Thaciano ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 64', Aderlan ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 66', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 74', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 74', Lucas Mugni ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 77', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 80', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 87', Pedro Raul ↓, Lele ↑,
- 89', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 89', Rincon T. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos 41.6% | Draw 31.6% | Ceará 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↑ (1.83) |
3.04 ↓ (3.32) |
3.63 ↓ (4.75) |
4.1% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - Ceará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 50%). Ceará (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Santos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of home games.
- Santos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Barreal A.
(Inactive)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Aylon
(Hamstring Injury)
Bruno Ferreira
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Santos won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Ceará?
Santos has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Santos?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Ceará were as follows:
22.10.2024
Santos
-
Ceará
1:0
05.07.2024
Ceará
-
Santos
0:1
10.09.2022
Ceará
-
Santos
2:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet