Result
0:0
12/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (398/483) | 77% (187/242) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (398/483) | 77% (187/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (86/129) | 64% (34/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/35) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 64', Thaciano ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 64', Aderlan ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 66', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 74', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 74', Lucas Mugni ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 77', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 80', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 87', Pedro Raul ↓, Lele ↑,
- 89', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 89', Rincon T. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
41.6% | Draw
31.6% | Ceará
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(1.83) |
3.04 ↓
(3.32) |
3.63 ↓
(4.75) |
4.1%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santos - Ceará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 50%). Ceará (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Santos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of home games.
- Santos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Barreal A.
(Inactive)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Hamstring Injury)
Souza
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Aylon
(Hamstring Injury)
Bruno Ferreira
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Santos won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Ceará?
Santos has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Santos?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Ceará were as follows:
22.10.2024
Santos
-
Ceará
1:0
05.07.2024
Ceará
-
Santos
0:1
10.09.2022
Ceará
-
Santos
2:1
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
