Santos vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - Ceará
Result
0:0
12/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 8
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.60
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
82% (398/483)77% (187/242)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.52
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2011
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
2111
Passes
82% (398/483)77% (187/242)
Long passes
46% (24/52)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
67% (86/129)64% (34/53)
Crosses
26% (9/35)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.36
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
1121
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5446
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.520.57
Goals prevented
0.520.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Rincon T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
  • 64', Thaciano , Barreal A. ,
  • 64', Aderlan , Godoy L. ,
  • 66', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
  • 74', Fabiano , Ramos R. ,
  • 74', Lucas Mugni , Romulo ,
  • 77', Gabriel Bontempo , Deivid Washington ,
  • 80', Fernando Sobral , Lourenco ,
  • 80', Pedro Henrique , Bruno Tubarao ,
  • 87', Pedro Raul , Lele ,
  • 89', Tiquinho Soares , Gabriel Veron ,
  • 89', Rincon T. , Ze Rafael ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
41.6%
Draw
31.6%
Ceará
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 28.5% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 29.7% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.
  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santos - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.83)
    3.04
    (3.32)
    3.63
    (4.75)
    4.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Ceará?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 50%). Ceará (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Santos will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • Santos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Ceará has had a series of home games.
    • Santos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Barreal A. (Inactive) Guilherme (Inactive) Neymar (Hamstring Injury) Souza (Ankle Injury) Ze Rafael (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Aylon (Hamstring Injury) Bruno Ferreira (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho (Shoulder Injury) Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Richard (Achilles Tendon Injury) Richardson (Heel Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Santos won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Ceará were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Santos - Ceará 1:0
    05.07.2024 Ceará - Santos 0:1
    10.09.2022 Ceará - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Santos
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    01.05.2025 Santos - CRB Maceio 1:1
    20.04.2025 São Paulo - Santos 2:1
    16.04.2025 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 2:0
    Latest results of Ceará
    03.05.2025 Ceará - Vitória Salvador 1:0
    30.04.2025 Ceará - Palmeiras 0:1
    26.04.2025 Ceará - São Paulo 1:1
    21.04.2025 Bahia - Ceará 1:0
    15.04.2025 Ceará - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet