Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (342/410) | 81% (313/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (342/410) | 81% (313/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/103) | 71% (58/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vinicius Zanocelo (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vina ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 52', Eder 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Para ⚽, Lucas Rian (A),
- 63', Matheus Araujo ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 63', Wendel ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 63', Matheusinho ↓, Melk ↑,
- 64', Dudu Miraima ↓, Foguinho ↑,
- 64', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 64', Lucas Rian ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 74', Ramos R. ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
- 82', Pablo Dyego ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
- 85', Lucas Lima 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará
60.8% | Draw
24.2% | São Bernardo
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1%)
Ceará - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
3.83 ↑
(3.73) |
6.2 ↑
(5.6) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceará - São Bernardo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Ceará is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- São Bernardo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ceará is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceará won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against São Bernardo?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Ceará?
São Bernardo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - São Bernardo were as follows:
17.03.2026
São Bernardo
-
Ceará
0:1
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
