Celaya vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Celaya - Atlético Morelia
Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
109
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Barragan M. , Tovar J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Garcia J. , Lopez R. ,
  • 60', Tejeda D. , Recalde B. ,
  • 64', Trejo C. , Nambo M. ,
  • 69', Del Angel E. 🟨,
  • 74', Dominguez A. , Garcia J. ,
  • 75', Barragan M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 79', Martinez J. , Polydoro L. ,
  • 80', Dominguez M. , Islas O. ,
  • 82', Ortega W. 🟨,
  • 88', Figueroa F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Tovar J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Celaya
61.3%
Draw
22.2%
Atlético Morelia
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 20.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 20% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Celaya - Atlético Morelia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.43)
    4.17
    (4.47)
    5.62
    (6.35)
    7.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 0.
    • Celaya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Atlético Morelia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético Morelia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    02.10.2024 Atlético Morelia - Celaya 2:0
    21.03.2024 Celaya - Atlético Morelia 1:2
    06.08.2023 Atlético Morelia - Celaya 1:0
    14.05.2023 Celaya - Atlético Morelia 1:3
    11.05.2023 Atlético Morelia - Celaya 1:1
    Latest results of Celaya
    12.02.2025 Atlético La Paz - Celaya 2:3
    08.02.2025 Celaya - Correcaminos UAT 4:1
    01.02.2025 Dorados - Celaya 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)