Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes 2, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽, Tovar J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Garcia J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 60', Tejeda D. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
- 64', Trejo C. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 69', Del Angel E. 🟨,
- 74', Dominguez A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 75', Barragan M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 79', Martinez J. ↓, Polydoro L. ↑,
- 80', Dominguez M. ↓, Islas O. ↑,
- 82', Ortega W. 🟨,
- 88', Figueroa F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tovar J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Celaya
61.3% | Draw
22.2% | Atlético Morelia
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Celaya - Atlético Morelia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.43) |
4.17 ↓
(4.47) |
5.62 ↓
(6.35) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 0.
- Celaya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Atlético Morelia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Morelia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Celaya is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Celaya won against Atlético Morelia?
Celaya has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Celaya?
Atlético Morelia has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
02.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Celaya
2:0
21.03.2024
Celaya
-
Atlético Morelia
1:2
06.08.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Celaya
1:0
14.05.2023
Celaya
-
Atlético Morelia
1:3
11.05.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Celaya
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
