Montañeses vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
29/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 55', 🟥,
  • 57', 2 - 0, ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, ,
  • 89', 4 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 5 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Montañeses
36.7%
Draw
27.7%
Celaya
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 26% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 26.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montañeses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Montañeses - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.6)
    3.31
    (3.5)
    2.57
    (2.33)
    9.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Celaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montañeses won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montañeses - Celaya were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Celaya - Montañeses 1:0
    Latest results of Montañeses
    Latest results of Celaya
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzBye
    2Tigres de AlicaHalcones2 : 1, 0 : 2
    3Alacranes de DurangoBye
    4SantiagoZacatepec2 : 3, 1 : 1
    5Deportiva VenadosClub Calor2 : 1, 1 : 0
    6TapachulaTritones Vallarta1 : 1, 0 : 1
    7ApodacaBye
    8TecosInter Playa Del Carmen0 : 0, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzHalcones0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Alacranes de DurangoZacatepec1 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Deportiva VenadosTritones Vallarta1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ApodacaInter Playa Del Carmen3 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HalconesAlacranes de Durango1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Deportiva VenadosApodaca4 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Alacranes de DurangoDeportiva Venados