Celaya vs Tepatitlán de Morelos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Result
3:1
22/02/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
820
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
314
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Munoz J. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Gamboa J. ,
  • 22', Gonzalez Mendivil J. E. 🟨,
  • 23', Munoz Z. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Diaz Quirarte R. , Bravo W. ,
  • 61', Gamboa J. 🟨,
  • 61', Soto A. , Tamay A. ,
  • 61', Aguilar M. , Machado J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Escoto A. ,
  • 68', Escoto A. 🟨,
  • 69', Hernandez P. , Manriquez S. ,
  • 73', Dominguez A. , Tejeda D. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Munoz J. ,
  • 82', Munoz J. , Monreal E. ,
  • 82', Barragan M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 84', Gonzalez Mendivil J. E. , Lorona L. ,
  • 84', Munoz Z. , Vallejo M. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Gamboa J. ,

Chances of winning


Celaya
55.5%
Draw
24.6%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 22.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 22.6% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.54)
    3.76
    (3.99)
    4.67
    (5.18)
    8%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Celaya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya 2:1
    29.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya 0:2
    19.08.2023 Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:1
    09.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya 1:2
    Latest results of Celaya
    12.02.2025 Atlético La Paz - Celaya 2:3
    08.02.2025 Celaya - Correcaminos UAT 4:1
    01.02.2025 Dorados - Celaya 1:1
    25.01.2025 Celaya - Venados 1:1
    11.01.2025 Atlante - Celaya 3:0
    Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)