Result
2:1
06/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima TV |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 18 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (419/469) | 85% (274/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (419/469) | 85% (274/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (84/108) | 72% (79/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Urbanski K. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jevsenak F. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
- 48', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 52', Kvesic M. 🟨,
- 59', Avdyli M. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
- 59', Tutyskinas A. ↓, Vodeb G. ↑,
- 66', Kapustka B. 🟨,
- 68', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 68', Stojanovic P. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Kvesic M. (A),
- 77', 2 - 1, Karnicnik Z. ⚽,
- 78', Urbanski K. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
- 78', Bejger L. ↓, Vuklisevic D. ↑,
- 86', Krasniqi E. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 86', Kapustka B. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
- 86', Kvesic M. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
- 87', Zewlakow J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Celje
41.5% | Draw
26.6% | Legia Warsaw
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Celje - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.23) |
3.59 ↑
(3.36) |
2.98 ↓
(3.09) |
4.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Celje - Legia Warsaw?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Celje (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Celje (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Legia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Celje will win
(27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celje will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Celje (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Legia (votes: 2 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Celje is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Legia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Celje: Kucys A.
(Knee Injury)
Sluga S.
(Inactive)
Zabukovnik M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Legia: Reca A.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Legia Warsaw?
Celje has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Celje?
Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celje - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
