Céltiga vs Noia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Céltiga
53.7%
Draw
26.9%
Noia
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 27.6% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.7% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Céltiga - Noia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.72)
    3.6
    (3.15)
    4.97
    (4)
    3.4%
    (14.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Noia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Céltiga is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Céltiga
    14.12.2025 RC Villalbes - Céltiga 1:0
    06.12.2025 Céltiga - Barbadás 2:0
    23.11.2025 Alondras - Céltiga 1:0
    16.11.2025 Céltiga - Lugo B 0:0
    09.11.2025 Gran Peña - Céltiga 2:4
    Latest results of Noia
    13.12.2025 Noia - Juventud Cambados 2:1
    06.12.2025 Boiro - Noia 4:0
    23.11.2025 Noia - Barco 1:1
    16.11.2025 Compostela - Noia 2:1
    09.11.2025 Noia - Estradense 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation