Céltiga vs Noia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Céltiga
53.7%
Draw
26.9%
Noia
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 27.6% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.7% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Céltiga - Noia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.72)
    3.6
    (3.15)
    4.97
    (4)
    3.4%
    (14.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Noia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Céltiga is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Céltiga
    14.12.2025 RC Villalbes - Céltiga 1:0
    06.12.2025 Céltiga - Barbadás 2:0
    23.11.2025 Alondras - Céltiga 1:0
    16.11.2025 Céltiga - Lugo B 0:0
    09.11.2025 Gran Peña - Céltiga 2:4
    Latest results of Noia
    13.12.2025 Noia - Juventud Cambados 2:1
    06.12.2025 Boiro - Noia 4:0
    23.11.2025 Noia - Barco 1:1
    16.11.2025 Compostela - Noia 2:1
    09.11.2025 Noia - Estradense 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela26158341:202153
    2Arosa SC26158348:291953
    3Somozas26119627:21642
    4Racing Club Villalbes261011529:191041
    5Atletico Arteixo26109738:32639
    6Gran Pena26911638:30838
    7Barco261151027:27038
    8Estradense26910734:26837
    9Lugo B26910729:29037
    10Celtiga261061038:32636
    11Boiro2699829:23636
    12Alondras26971034:36-234
    13Montaneros26810834:31334
    14Viveiro26781120:32-1229
    15Silva SD26661418:34-1624
    16Cambados263121117:26-921
    17Noia26461618:42-2418
    18Barbadas-Bentraces26371616:46-3016

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation