Result
0:4
04/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 11
- Referee: Cook D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (511/578) | 76% (191/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (511/578) | 76% (191/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 27% (14/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (111/139) | 66% (38/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', Stanisic V. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, McCalmont A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', 0 - 2, James Ngor S. ⚽, Di Pizio M. (A),
- 22', 0 - 3, Brandtman B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Stanisic V. ↓, Tatu A. ↑,
- 46', Crawford H. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 52', McCalmont A. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 4, Di Pizio M. ⚽, Brandtman B. (A),
- 58', Eames H. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
- 69', Muniz J. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
- 70', Goodwin C. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
- 78', Brandtman B. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
- 78', James Ngor S. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
- 81', Mauragis L. 🟨,
- 84', De Lima A. 🟨,
- 90', Steele H. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
- 90', Di Pizio M. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
50% | Draw
24.3% | Central Coast Mariners
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.55) |
3.87 ↓
(4.23) |
3.7 ↓
(5.15) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Central Coast will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 46.6% – 82%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Adelaide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Central Coast has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Central Coast has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Adelaide is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Groin Injury)
Pierias D.
(Inactive)
Vriends B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Central Coast: De Lima A.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Central Coast Mariners?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
13.12.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
0:4
26.10.2024
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:1
01.05.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Adelaide United
2:0
03.02.2024
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:4
20.10.2023
Adelaide United
-
Central Coast Mariners
3:0
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Melbourne Victory | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Adelaide United | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
