Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
0:4
04/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 11
  • Referee: Cook D. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.812.38
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
2217
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
88% (511/578)76% (191/252)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.812.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.472.88
Total shots
2217
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
1613
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
3819
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
119
Passes
88% (511/578)76% (191/252)
Long passes
44% (15/34)27% (14/52)
Passes in final third
80% (111/139)66% (38/58)
Crosses
30% (8/27)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.64
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
911
Tackles
50% (9/18)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
2.880.47
Goals prevented
-1.120.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 7', Stanisic V. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, McCalmont A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 20', 0 - 2, James Ngor S. ⚽, Di Pizio M. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 3, Brandtman B. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Stanisic V. ↓, Tatu A. ↑,
  • 46', Crawford H. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
  • 52', McCalmont A. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 4, Di Pizio M. ⚽, Brandtman B. (A),
  • 58', Eames H. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
  • 69', Muniz J. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
  • 70', Goodwin C. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
  • 78', Brandtman B. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
  • 78', James Ngor S. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
  • 81', Mauragis L. 🟨,
  • 84', De Lima A. 🟨,
  • 90', Steele H. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
  • 90', Di Pizio M. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
50%		Draw
24.3%		Central Coast Mariners
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 21.9% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 16.5% 23.9%

Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.87 ↑
(1.55)		 3.87 ↓
(4.23)		 3.7 ↓
(5.15)		 6.4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Central Coast will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 46.6% – 82%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Adelaide United will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
    • Adelaide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Central Coast has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Central Coast has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Adelaide is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo (Groin Injury) Pierias D. (Inactive) Vriends B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Central Coast: De Lima A. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 0:4
    26.10.2024 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 1:1
    01.05.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 2:0
    03.02.2024 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 0:4
    20.10.2023 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 3:0
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    27.12.2025 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar 0:1 ✺
    28.11.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners 3:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC 1:2 ✺
    06.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Sydney 1:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City 0:0 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets1590634:26827
    2Sydney FC1481522:14825
    3Auckland FC1574422:17525
    4Macarthur FC1666422:21124
    5Adelaide United1572624:23123
    6Melbourne City1656518:20-221
    7Brisbane Roar1663716:20-421
    8Melbourne Victory1562720:19120
    9Perth Glory1561818:20-219
    10Wellington Phoenix1554624:28-419
    11Central Coast Mariners1544719:23-416
    12WS Wanderers1543812:20-815

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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